Kuressaare
vs
Tammeka
1 – 3 Full time
| 16′ | O. Kangaslahti | ||
| 19′ | E. Demidov | ||
| 28′ | P. Marin | ||
| 55′ | M. Sambe | ||
| 57′ | P. MarinG. Uggeri | ||
| 68′ | T. LangL. Ounpuu | ||
| 68′ | M. HydaraKauan Pereira | ||
| 69′ | R. Silov | ||
| 72′ | S. SinilaidR. Lukas | ||
| 79′ | Thomas LisboaM. Vaino | ||
| 79′ | R. SilovR. Muur | ||
| 85′ | A. VisseG. Roivassepp |
Kuressaare vs Tammeka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kuressaare vs Tammeka
| Probability | Kuressaare | Draw | Tammeka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 27.6% | 37.0% |
| Market | 32.1% | 26.9% | 40.9% |
| Final | 33.0% | 27.1% | 39.9% |
| Edge | +3.3% | +0.7% | -3.9% |
Why Tammeka
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kuressaare and Tammeka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Kuressaare and Tammeka attack and defence ratings
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kuressaare vs Tammeka: result vs prediction
Kuressaare 1 – 3 Tammeka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kuressaare vs Tammeka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 39.9% | 2.50 | -3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kuressaare | 33.0% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Tammeka | 39.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tammeka win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Kuressaare vs Tammeka stats
Kuressaare and Tammeka recent form
| Kuressaare |
LWDLWW |
| Tammeka |
LWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kuressaare and Tammeka going into this match
Kuressaare record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tammeka record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kuressaare vs Tammeka head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-11 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-06-17 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-22 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-22 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-12 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kuressaare vs Tammeka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 27.0%, away 41.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.34 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.13 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 3.34 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87 | 3.39 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 2.71 | 3.12 | 2.08 |
| Unibet | 2.88 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .