Tammeka
vs
Paide
0 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Thomas Lisboa | ||
| 28′ | J. Palacios | ||
| 55′ | M. P. Sohna | ||
| 57′ | R. LaabusT. Lang | ||
| 57′ | J. PalaciosM. Jobarteh | ||
| 58′ | M. MillerR. Smirnov | ||
| 70′ | R. Silov | ||
| 72′ | Paide | ||
| 74′ | R. Smirnov | ||
| 78′ | M. P. Sohna | ||
| 78′ | M. P. SohnaP. A. Cham | ||
| 78′ | H. AnierD. Darboe | ||
| 78′ | D. LutsS. Luts | ||
| 80′ | M. HydaraP. Marin | ||
| 80′ | M. SambeK. Kiidron | ||
| 81′ | M. Lilander | ||
| 86′ | S. Luts |
Tammeka vs Paide overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tammeka vs Paide
| Probability | Tammeka | Draw | Paide |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 26.4% | 23.8% |
| Market | 23.6% | 24.1% | 52.3% |
| Final | 30.1% | 24.7% | 45.2% |
| Edge | +26.2% | +2.3% | -28.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tammeka and Paide expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Tammeka and Paide attack and defence ratings
Tammeka
Paide
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tammeka vs Paide: result vs prediction
Tammeka 0 – 2 Paide
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tammeka vs Paide markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paide | 45.2% | 2.21 | -28.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 30.1% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Paide | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Paide win | 9.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.3% | |
| Loss | 76.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
Tammeka vs Paide stats
Tammeka and Paide recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tammeka and Paide going into this match
Tammeka record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Paide record
- They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tammeka vs Paide head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Paide | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Paide | Tammeka | Cup | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Paide | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 5-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Paide | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Paide | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tammeka vs Paide odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.6%, draw 24.1%, away 52.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.80 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 3.90 | 3.82 | 1.72 |
| 888Sport | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 3.95 | 3.65 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.74 |
| Marathonbet | 3.84 | 3.82 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 3.50 | 3.39 | 1.70 |
| Superbet | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.74 |
| Unibet | 3.95 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .