Meistriliiga · Full time ·Matchday 29

Laagri vs Kuressaare

0 – 0 Full time

38′M. KesaI. Bah
41′J. Vahermagi
46′R. Reimaa
57′M. Lukka
76′K. EermeRudenko Daniil
76′M. SeckE. Kajari
84′Y. E. AssaleK. Ennuste
89′K. Nomm

Laagri kunstmurustaadion, LaagriReferee: J. Jakobson

Laagri 48%
Draw 25%
Kuressaare 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Laagri vs Kuressaare overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Laagri vs Kuressaare

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLaagriDrawKuressaare
Model57.1%22.6%20.3%
Market44.9%25.3%29.8%
Final48.0%24.6%27.4%
Edge+12.1%-2.7%-9.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Laagri

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.20.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Laagri below the model: +12.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Laagri ↓ / Kuressaare → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Laagri and Kuressaare expected goals

Laagri 2.10
Kuressaare 1.20

Total expected goals: 3.31

Laagri and Kuressaare attack and defence ratings

Laagri

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Kuressaare

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Laagri vs Kuressaare: result vs prediction

Laagri 0 – 0 Kuressaare

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Meistriliiga

Before and after this match

Laagri vs Kuressaare markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Laagri 48.0% 2.08 +12.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.4% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.9% 2.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Laagri48.0%
Draw24.6%
Kuressaare27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%
Both teams to scoreYes62.4%
No37.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)52.0%
Handicap -1Laagri win35.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss42.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
2-19.7%
2-08.1%

Laagri vs Kuressaare stats

Laagri and Kuressaare recent form

newest first
Laagri WLLWWL
Kuressaare LLWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Laagri and Kuressaare going into this match

league record before kick-off

Laagri record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kuressaare record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Laagri vs Kuressaare head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Laagri wins 3Draws 3Kuressaare wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-07KuressaareLaagriMeistriliiga3-2
2026-06-13LaagriKuressaareMeistriliiga2-3
2026-04-11KuressaareLaagriMeistriliiga3-2
2025-09-17LaagriKuressaareMeistriliiga2-1
2025-08-09KuressaareLaagriMeistriliiga1-3
2025-06-29LaagriKuressaareMeistriliiga1-1
2025-03-16KuressaareLaagriMeistriliiga1-2
2025-01-25LaagriKuressaareFriendlies Clubs2-0
2023-11-04KuressaareLaagriMeistriliiga1-1
2023-07-01LaagriKuressaareMeistriliiga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Laagri vs Kuressaare odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 25.3%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.99 3.54 3.11
Bet365 2.00 3.60 3.00
BetVictor 1.90 3.25 2.75
Betano 2.00 3.55 3.05
Betfair 1.95 3.80 3.00
Marathonbet 1.97 3.54 3.04
Pinnacle 2.06 3.68 3.13
SBO 1.98 3.40 2.86
William Hill 2.05 3.30 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.99 ▲ +0.01
X 3.54 ▼ -0.11
2 3.00 ▼ -0.19

9 snapshots recorded, from .