Meistriliiga · Full time ·Matchday 29

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme

1 – 3 Full time

6′T. Baptista
10′M. Podholjuzin
18′N. Andreev
20′O. Kangaslahti
37′M. Mannilaan
60′O. MusolitinD. Sotsugov
60′E. E. Lotar EyangI. Jabir
62′P. MarinR. Silov
62′Thomas LisboaL. Ounpuu
68′G. UggeriK. Kiidron
68′M. HydaraR. Muur
71′A. BorolinstsikovA. Nikolajev
71′T. BaptistaM. Tambedou
77′R. Siht
77′Pedro ManoelM. Vaino
80′I. Jabir
81′M. MannilaanIdalecio
86′M. Sambe
88′P. Veelma

Tamme Stadium, TartuReferee: J. Jaanovits

Tammeka 27%
Draw 25%
Kalju Nomme 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTammekaDrawKalju Nomme
Model31.1%25.1%43.8%
Market25.3%25.0%49.7%
Final26.8%25.1%48.2%
Edge+5.9%+0.1%-5.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tammeka ↓ / Kalju Nomme → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Tammeka and Kalju Nomme expected goals

Tammeka 1.47
Kalju Nomme 1.76

Total expected goals: 3.23

Tammeka and Kalju Nomme attack and defence ratings

Tammeka

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Kalju Nomme

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme: result vs prediction

Tammeka 1 – 3 Kalju Nomme

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Meistriliiga

Before and after this match

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kalju Nomme 48.2% 2.08 -5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.6% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.7% 1.54 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.2% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tammeka26.8%
Draw25.1%
Kalju Nomme48.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.6%
Under 2.537.4%
Both teams to scoreYes64.7%
No35.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.8%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)73.2%
Handicap -1Kalju Nomme win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss56.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.0%
2-17.5%

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme stats

Tammeka and Kalju Nomme recent form

newest first
Tammeka LWLWLW
Kalju Nomme WLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tammeka and Kalju Nomme going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tammeka record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kalju Nomme record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Tammeka wins 2Draws 7Kalju Nomme wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02Kalju NommeTammekaMeistriliiga5-1
2026-06-17Kalju NommeTammekaMeistriliiga1-2
2026-03-08TammekaKalju NommeMeistriliiga0-1
2025-11-02Kalju NommeTammekaMeistriliiga2-1
2025-08-03TammekaKalju NommeMeistriliiga1-3
2025-05-10TammekaKalju NommeMeistriliiga0-1
2025-03-16Kalju NommeTammekaMeistriliiga2-2
2024-09-29TammekaKalju NommeMeistriliiga2-3
2024-07-27Kalju NommeTammekaMeistriliiga3-0
2024-06-28TammekaKalju NommeMeistriliiga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.3%, draw 25.0%, away 49.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.72 3.58 1.79
Bet365 3.30 3.60 1.83
BetVictor 3.13 3.25 1.75
Betano 3.70 3.60 1.78
Betfair 3.40 3.75 1.85
Marathonbet 3.64 3.58 1.77
Pinnacle 3.51 3.73 1.90
William Hill 3.60 3.40 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.55 ▼ -0.65
X 3.59 ▼ -0.17
2 1.81 ▲ +0.16

9 snapshots recorded, from .