Kalju Nomme
vs
Laagri
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kalju Nomme
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Kalju Nomme vs Laagri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kalju Nomme vs Laagri
| Probability | Kalju Nomme | Draw | Laagri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.6% | 24.0% | 20.4% |
| Market | 59.8% | 22.1% | 18.1% |
| Final | 58.7% | 22.6% | 18.7% |
| Edge | -4.2% | +1.9% | +2.3% |
Why Kalju Nomme
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.11.
Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Kalju Nomme vs Laagri match preview
Kalju Nomme holds a 56% probability of winning against Laagri in their upcoming Meistriliiga match on October 10, 2026. The expected goals for Kalju Nomme stand at 1.93, while Laagri's expected goals are significantly lower at 1.11. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Kalju Nomme, with a 10% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Kalju Nomme has experienced a mixed run with two wins and four losses in their last six matches, whereas Laagri has recorded two wins, one draw, and three losses in the same timeframe. Historical head-to-head results favor Kalju Nomme, who has won six of the last seven encounters against Laagri, who has only one victory in that span.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kalju Nomme and Laagri expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Kalju Nomme and Laagri attack and defence ratings
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kalju Nomme vs Laagri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalju Nomme | 58.7% | 1.70 | -4.2% | 1.53 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalju Nomme | 58.7% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Laagri | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalju Nomme win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
Kalju Nomme vs Laagri stats
Kalju Nomme and Laagri recent form
| Kalju Nomme |
WWLLLL |
| Laagri |
DWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kalju Nomme and Laagri season so far
Kalju Nomme record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Laagri record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kalju Nomme vs Laagri head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Laagri | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kalju Nomme | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Laagri | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laagri | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-24 | Laagri | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2025-06-18 | Kalju Nomme | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-09 | Kalju Nomme | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Kalju Nomme | Laagri | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-04 | Kalju Nomme | Laagri | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-14 | Kalju Nomme | Laagri | Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kalju Nomme vs Laagri odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.8%, draw 22.1%, away 18.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.05 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.33 | 5.24 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .