Meistriliiga · Full time ·Matchday 30

Kalju Nomme vs Laagri

0 – 1 Full time

49′M. Tambedou
59′E. E. Lotar EyangM. Mannilaan
65′I. JabirM. Orlov
66′K. KriisJ. Ndakala
66′K. EermeA. Kaevats
66′M. KesaS. Soo
72′M. TambedouT. Baptista
80′M. KelementK. Roomussaar
86′M. Mannilaan
87′Rudenko DaniilI. Bah
88′K. Roomussaar
90′O. Musolitin

Hiiu Stadium, TallinnReferee: K. Laane

Kalju Nomme 60%
Draw 22%
Laagri 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kalju Nomme vs Laagri overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kalju Nomme vs Laagri

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKalju NommeDrawLaagri
Model55.6%24.0%20.4%
Market60.9%21.4%17.8%
Final59.5%22.0%18.4%
Edge-1.3%+0.7%+0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Kalju Nomme

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.11.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kalju Nomme ↓ / Laagri → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 11% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Kalju Nomme and Laagri expected goals

Kalju Nomme 1.93
Laagri 1.11

Total expected goals: 3.04

Kalju Nomme and Laagri attack and defence ratings

Kalju Nomme

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Laagri

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kalju Nomme vs Laagri: result vs prediction

Kalju Nomme 0 – 1 Laagri

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Meistriliiga

Before and after this match

Kalju Nomme vs Laagri markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kalju Nomme 59.5% 1.68 -1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.6% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.4% 2.25 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kalju Nomme59.5%
Draw22.0%
Laagri18.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.6%
Under 2.541.4%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.6%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)40.5%
Handicap -1Kalju Nomme win33.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss44.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.9%
2-08.9%

Kalju Nomme vs Laagri stats

Kalju Nomme and Laagri recent form

newest first
Kalju Nomme WWLLLL
Laagri DWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kalju Nomme and Laagri going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kalju Nomme record

  • They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Laagri record

  • They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kalju Nomme vs Laagri head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Kalju Nomme wins 1Draws 1Laagri wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-22LaagriKalju NommeMeistriliiga1-0
2026-05-20Kalju NommeLaagriMeistriliiga1-0
2026-04-08LaagriKalju NommeMeistriliiga0-2
2025-10-19LaagriKalju NommeMeistriliiga1-3
2025-09-24LaagriKalju NommeMeistriliiga2-3
2025-06-18Kalju NommeLaagriMeistriliiga1-0
2025-04-09Kalju NommeLaagriMeistriliiga3-0
2025-01-11Kalju NommeLaagriFriendlies Clubs0-0
2024-02-04Kalju NommeLaagriFriendlies Clubs3-0
2023-10-14Kalju NommeLaagriCup3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kalju Nomme vs Laagri odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.9%, draw 21.4%, away 17.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.47 4.20 5.31
Bet365 1.48 4.20 5.00
BetVictor 1.40 3.75 4.60
Betano 1.50 4.20 4.90
Betfair 1.44 4.40 5.50
Dafabet 1.50 4.50 5.40
Marathonbet 1.46 4.20 5.10
Pinnacle 1.50 4.42 5.45
SBO 1.45 4.00 4.84
William Hill 1.50 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.48 ▼ -0.09
X 4.20 ▲ +0.10
2 5.05 ▲ +0.50

13 snapshots recorded, from .