Kuressaare
vs
Flora Tallinn
2 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | M. Lukka | ||
| 20′ | O. Pihela | ||
| 30′ | M. Jekimov | ||
| 32′ | A. Svedovski | ||
| 40′ | T. Jurisoo | ||
| 46′ | M. JekimovT. Teevali | ||
| 52′ | R. Piil | ||
| 54′ | M. KukkonenT. Varjund | ||
| 54′ | T. UstaE. Sorga | ||
| 62′ | D. KuraksinR. Alliku | ||
| 67′ | R. Veering | ||
| 71′ | R. TarkmeelA. Kivi | ||
| 71′ | A. SvedovskiR. Talu | ||
| 73′ | E. Demidov | ||
| 78′ | R. ValdmetsD. Zotov |
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn
| Probability | Kuressaare | Draw | Flora Tallinn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.2% | 25.3% | 39.6% |
| Market | 22.8% | 23.1% | 54.2% |
| Final | 25.9% | 23.6% | 50.5% |
| Edge | +3.1% | +0.6% | -3.7% |
Why Flora Tallinn
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kuressaare and Flora Tallinn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
Kuressaare and Flora Tallinn attack and defence ratings
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn: result vs prediction
Kuressaare 2 – 0 Flora Tallinn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flora Tallinn | 50.5% | 1.98 | -3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kuressaare | 25.9% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Flora Tallinn | 50.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flora Tallinn win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn stats
Kuressaare and Flora Tallinn recent form
| Kuressaare |
DLLWDL |
| Flora Tallinn |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kuressaare and Flora Tallinn going into this match
Kuressaare record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Flora Tallinn record
- They have won 18 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Flora Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kuressaare | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-07 | Flora Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Flora Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Kuressaare | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-27 | Kuressaare | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-29 | Flora Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 5-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Flora Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Kuressaare | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 3-4 |
| 2024-05-21 | Flora Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.8%, draw 23.1%, away 54.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.13 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.71 |
| Marathonbet | 4.05 | 3.90 | 1.63 |
| Pinnacle | 3.90 | 4.17 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 3.71 | 3.54 | 1.62 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .