Flora Tallinn
vs
FC Levadia Tallinn
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn
| Probability | Flora Tallinn | Draw | FC Levadia Tallinn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.2% | 15.5% | 74.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 10.2% | 15.5% | 74.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Levadia Tallinn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.86 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn match preview
Flora Tallinn faces FC Levadia Tallinn in a Meistriliiga matchup with a significant probability favoring the visitors. According to our model, FC Levadia Tallinn holds a 74% chance of winning, while Flora Tallinn has only a 10% chance. The expected goals suggest a strong performance from FC Levadia, with 2.86 expected compared to Flora's 1.04. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2, occurring at a 9% probability.
Recent form also highlights the disparity, with Flora Tallinn recording four wins and a loss in their last six matches, while FC Levadia Tallinn has been on a strong run, with six consecutive wins and a draw. Additionally, there is a 75% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score 61% of the time, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.90
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn attack and defence ratings
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flora Tallinn | 10.2% |
| Draw | 15.5% | |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 74.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 25.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 55.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 25.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.6% |
| 0-2 | 8.3% | |
| 1-3 | 8.2% |
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn stats
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn recent form
| Flora Tallinn |
WWDWWL |
| FC Levadia Tallinn |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn season so far
Flora Tallinn record
- They have won 17 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
FC Levadia Tallinn record
- They have won 22 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Flora Tallinn | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-19 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 4-0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Flora Tallinn | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-17 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-18 | Flora Tallinn | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.