Trans Narva
vs
Kuressaare
0 – 1 Full time
| 52′ | T. Berardozzi | ||
| 56′ | N. BaljabkinY. Betancor | ||
| 59′ | A. KiviR. Talu | ||
| 66′ | R. TarkmeelG. Roivassepp | ||
| 67′ | S. Prunn | ||
| 73′ | S. AgaptsevW. Awusi | ||
| 73′ | M. VelijevA. Besigirskis | ||
| 84′ | E. ZuravljovD. Poliakov | ||
| 87′ | A. Svedovski | ||
| 90′ | Y. Betancor | ||
| 90′ | J. VahermagiJ. Kobin |
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trans Narva vs Kuressaare
| Probability | Trans Narva | Draw | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.7% | 29.4% | 38.0% |
| Market | 46.2% | 26.5% | 27.3% |
| Final | 42.8% | 27.2% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +0.7% | +2.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trans Narva and Kuressaare expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Trans Narva and Kuressaare attack and defence ratings
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare: result vs prediction
Trans Narva 0 – 1 Kuressaare
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trans Narva | 42.8% | 2.34 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.3% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trans Narva | 42.8% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Kuressaare | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trans Narva win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 67.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 9.3% |
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare stats
Trans Narva and Kuressaare recent form
| Trans Narva |
DDLDLL |
| Kuressaare |
WDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trans Narva and Kuressaare going into this match
Trans Narva record
- They have won 5 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 30 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kuressaare record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 26.5%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.41 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .