Laagri
vs
Nõmme United
2 – 0 Full time
| 5′ | Rudenko Daniil | ||
| 43′ | K. Laanelaid | ||
| 46′ | T. EvansE. Ounapuu | ||
| 55′ | K. Eerme | ||
| 56′ | K. Eerme | ||
| 58′ | K. LaanelaidK. Matas | ||
| 68′ | M. KelementM. Seck | ||
| 68′ | H. PalutajaM. Kesa | ||
| 69′ | K. OostenbrinkA. Torres | ||
| 75′ | S. SooK. Roomussaar | ||
| 75′ | R. ReimaaK. Kriis | ||
| 82′ | A. FrolovN. Vassiljev | ||
| 82′ | A. KaevatsS. Suppi | ||
| 86′ | S. Geiger |
Laagri vs Nõmme United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Laagri vs Nõmme United
| Probability | Laagri | Draw | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.7% | 20.6% | 12.8% |
| Market | 46.1% | 23.9% | 30.0% |
| Final | 51.3% | 23.0% | 25.7% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -0.8% | -4.3% |
Why Laagri
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Laagri below our published probability: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Laagri and Nõmme United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Laagri and Nõmme United attack and defence ratings
Laagri
Nõmme United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Laagri vs Nõmme United: result vs prediction
Laagri 2 – 0 Nõmme United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Laagri vs Nõmme United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Laagri | 51.3% | 1.95 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Laagri win | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Laagri | 51.3% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Nõmme United | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Laagri win | 43.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 33.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-1 | 9.8% |
Laagri vs Nõmme United stats
Laagri and Nõmme United recent form
| Laagri |
WDWLLW |
| Nõmme United |
LLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Laagri and Nõmme United going into this match
Laagri record
- They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nõmme United record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Laagri vs Nõmme United head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Nõmme United | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laagri | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Nõmme United | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-30 | Laagri | Nõmme United | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-14 | Laagri | Nõmme United | Cup | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-22 | Laagri | Nõmme United | Esiliiga A | 5-1 |
| 2022-09-04 | Nõmme United | Laagri | Esiliiga A | 4-1 |
| 2022-04-28 | Laagri | Nõmme United | Esiliiga A | 4-2 |
| 2022-04-10 | Nõmme United | Laagri | Esiliiga A | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Laagri vs Nõmme United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 23.9%, away 30.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.85 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.85 | 2.93 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.79 | 3.24 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.37 | 2.76 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .