Nõmme United
vs
Kalju Nomme
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kalju Nomme
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme
| Probability | Nõmme United | Draw | Kalju Nomme |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.7% | 22.4% | 56.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.7% | 22.4% | 56.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kalju Nomme
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme attack and defence ratings
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalju Nomme | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nõmme United | 21.7% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Kalju Nomme | 56.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% |
| No | 35.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalju Nomme win | 34.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme stats
Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme recent form
| Nõmme United |
LLWLLL |
| Kalju Nomme |
WWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme season so far
Nõmme United record
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kalju Nomme record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Kalju Nomme | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Nõmme United | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-22 | Kalju Nomme | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 7-1 |
| 2024-09-18 | Kalju Nomme | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2024-07-19 | Nõmme United | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 0-4 |
| 2024-05-28 | Kalju Nomme | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Nõmme United | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.