Meistriliiga
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Nõmme United
vs
Kalju Nomme
3 – 0 Full time
| 23′ | Z. Beglarishvili | ||
| 35′ | R. Siht | ||
| 36′ | N. Vassiljev | ||
| 38′ | D. Mashchenko | ||
| 43′ | M. Palts | ||
| 46′ | M. MannilaanI. Jabir | ||
| 46′ | T. BaptistaE. E. Lotar Eyang | ||
| 62′ | N. VassiljevK. Oostenbrink | ||
| 64′ | G. Lagus | ||
| 64′ | K. Laanelaid | ||
| 64′ | N. Ivanov | ||
| 68′ | N. IvanovA. Nikolajev | ||
| 76′ | A. BorolinstsikovF. Jekimov | ||
| 80′ | O. MusolitinJ. Lillemets | ||
| 80′ | H. JarvelaidT. Evans | ||
| 87′ | T. Evans | ||
| 88′ | Z. BeglarishviliM. Marmei | ||
| 90′ | S. Geiger |
Nõmme United
21%
Draw
23%
Kalju Nomme
57%
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme
| Probability | Nõmme United | Draw | Kalju Nomme |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.6% | 22.4% | 58.9% |
| Market | 21.4% | 22.6% | 56.0% |
| Final | 20.7% | 22.5% | 56.7% |
| Edge | -0.7% | -0.0% | +0.7% |
Why Kalju Nomme
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme expected goals
Nõmme United
1.12
Kalju Nomme
2.11
Total expected goals: 3.23
Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme attack and defence ratings
Nõmme United
Attack
0.69 -31%
Defence
1.42 +42%
Kalju Nomme
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme: result vs prediction
Nõmme United 3 – 0 Kalju Nomme
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalju Nomme | 56.7% | 1.76 | +0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nõmme United | 20.7% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Kalju Nomme | 56.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalju Nomme win | 36.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 41.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 8.8% |
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme stats
Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme recent form
| Nõmme United |
LLLLWL |
| Kalju Nomme |
DLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme going into this match
Nõmme United record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kalju Nomme record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
1Nõmme United wins
2Draws
4Kalju Nomme wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Kalju Nomme | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Nõmme United | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-22 | Kalju Nomme | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 7-1 |
| 2024-09-18 | Kalju Nomme | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2024-07-19 | Nõmme United | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 0-4 |
| 2024-05-28 | Kalju Nomme | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Nõmme United | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.2%, draw 22.0%, away 56.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.28 | 3.98 | 1.61 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 5.50 | 4.10 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 5.80 | 4.40 | 1.46 |
| Marathonbet | 4.20 | 3.98 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.25 | 4.15 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.20 ▼ -0.62
X
3.98 ▼ -0.32
2
1.60 ▲ +0.07
9 snapshots recorded, from .