Kalju Nomme
vs
Flora Tallinn
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kalju Nomme
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn
| Probability | Kalju Nomme | Draw | Flora Tallinn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.2% | 22.6% | 24.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.2% | 22.6% | 24.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kalju Nomme
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.39.
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn match preview
Kalju Nomme faces Flora Tallinn in a Meistriliiga clash with Kalju Nomme holding a 53% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Kalju Nomme stand at 2.12, while Flora Tallinn is projected to score 1.39. Recent form shows Kalju Nomme with two wins in their last six matches, while Flora Tallinn has secured three wins in their last six outings.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Kalju Nomme, occurring with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 68% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring has a 67% likelihood. In their last ten encounters, Kalju Nomme has won four times, while Flora Tallinn has claimed victory six times.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kalju Nomme and Flora Tallinn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Kalju Nomme and Flora Tallinn attack and defence ratings
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalju Nomme | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalju Nomme | 53.2% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Flora Tallinn | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% |
| No | 33.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalju Nomme win | 32.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 46.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 6.7% |
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn stats
Kalju Nomme and Flora Tallinn recent form
| Kalju Nomme |
LDLWWL |
| Flora Tallinn |
LLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kalju Nomme and Flora Tallinn season so far
Kalju Nomme record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Flora Tallinn record
- They have won 18 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Flora Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Kalju Nomme | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Flora Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Kalju Nomme | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-06 | Flora Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Flora Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-05 | Kalju Nomme | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-01 | Flora Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-23 | Flora Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-25 | Kalju Nomme | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.