FC Levadia Tallinn
vs
Laagri
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri
| Probability | FC Levadia Tallinn | Draw | Laagri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.9% | 23.4% | 11.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.9% | 23.4% | 11.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Levadia Tallinn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri match preview
FC Levadia Tallinn is favored to win against Laagri with a probability of 72%, while the chances of a draw stand at 19% and Laagri at 9%. The expected goals for FC Levadia Tallinn are 2.21, compared to Laagri's 0.68, suggesting a significant disparity in offensive capabilities. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with a 14% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, FC Levadia Tallinn has shown strong performance with four consecutive wins, while Laagri has a mixed record, winning two of their last six matches. The model indicates a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match and a 45% chance that both teams will score. In their last seven encounters, FC Levadia Tallinn has dominated with six wins and one draw against Laagri.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Levadia Tallinn and Laagri expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
FC Levadia Tallinn and Laagri attack and defence ratings
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 64.9% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Laagri | 11.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 39.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.9% |
| 2-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-1 | 10.9% |
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri stats
FC Levadia Tallinn and Laagri recent form
| FC Levadia Tallinn |
WWWDWW |
| Laagri |
WWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Levadia Tallinn and Laagri season so far
FC Levadia Tallinn record
- They have won 24 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Laagri record
- They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Laagri | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-05-09 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laagri | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-08 | Laagri | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-2 |
| 2025-07-19 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Laagri | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-28 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.