Meistriliiga Β· Β·Matchday 35

Tammeka vs Laagri

Garuda Lions Prediction: Tammeka

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Tamme Stadium, Tartu

Tammeka 37%
Draw 26%
Laagri 37%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Tammeka wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
62%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Tammeka vs Laagri overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tammeka vs Laagri

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTammekaDrawLaagri
Model37.2%26.3%36.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final37.2%26.3%36.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Tammeka vs Laagri match preview

Tammeka and Laagri are set to face off in the Meistriliiga, with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Tammeka has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Laagri comes in strong with four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. According to our model, the probabilities for a win are equal for both teams at 37%, with a 26% chance of a draw.

The expected goals for the match are closely matched, with Tammeka at 1.53 and Laagri at 1.51. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Tammeka, occurring with an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% probability that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tammeka ↓ / Laagri β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 6% 12% 8% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Tammeka and Laagri expected goals

Tammeka 1.53
Laagri 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.04

Tammeka and Laagri attack and defence ratings

Tammeka

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Laagri

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Meistriliiga

Before and after this match

Tammeka vs Laagri markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tammeka 37.2% 2.69 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 62.2% 1.61 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.8% 1.59 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tammeka37.2%
Draw26.3%
Laagri36.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.6%
Under 2.541.4%
Both teams to scoreYes62.2%
No37.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.5%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)62.8%
Handicap -1Tammeka win18.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss62.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-18.4%
1-28.4%

Tammeka vs Laagri stats

Tammeka and Laagri recent form

newest first
Tammeka WLLWLL
Laagri LWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tammeka and Laagri season so far

league record

Tammeka record

  • They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Laagri record

  • They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Tammeka vs Laagri head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Tammeka wins 1Draws 3Laagri wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-06LaagriTammekaMeistriliiga0-2
2026-07-05TammekaLaagriMeistriliiga2-1
2026-04-25LaagriTammekaMeistriliiga1-0
2025-10-22LaagriTammekaMeistriliiga2-2
2025-08-31TammekaLaagriMeistriliiga3-0
2025-06-13TammekaLaagriMeistriliiga2-1
2025-04-18LaagriTammekaMeistriliiga4-1
2023-11-10TammekaLaagriMeistriliiga2-1
2023-07-09LaagriTammekaMeistriliiga3-0
2023-06-07TammekaLaagriMeistriliiga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tammeka vs Laagri odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Tammeka Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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