Nõmme United
vs
FC Levadia Tallinn
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn
0 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 0.89.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn
| Probability | Nõmme United | Draw | FC Levadia Tallinn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.5% | 16.4% | 74.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 9.5% | 16.4% | 74.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Levadia Tallinn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn match preview
Nõmme United faces a challenging matchup against FC Levadia Tallinn in the Meistriliiga on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Nõmme United has a 10% probability of winning, while FC Levadia Tallinn stands at 74%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with expected goals of 0.89 for Nõmme United and 2.64 for FC Levadia Tallinn. Recent form highlights Nõmme United's struggles, with two wins and four losses in their last six matches, whereas FC Levadia Tallinn has been in strong form, winning five of their last six.
The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 69%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 55%. In their last three encounters, Nõmme United has yet to secure a victory, recording two losses and one draw against FC Levadia Tallinn. This match presents a significant challenge for Nõmme United, given the current statistics and form.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nõmme United and FC Levadia Tallinn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
Nõmme United and FC Levadia Tallinn attack and defence ratings
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nõmme United | 9.5% |
| Draw | 16.4% | |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 74.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 26.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 53.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 26.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-3 | 9.0% |
Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn stats
Nõmme United and FC Levadia Tallinn recent form
| Nõmme United |
WWLLLL |
| FC Levadia Tallinn |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nõmme United and FC Levadia Tallinn season so far
Nõmme United record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Levadia Tallinn record
- They have won 26 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 5-0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Nõmme United | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-04 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.