FC Levadia Tallinn
vs
Tammeka
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 0.82.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Levadia Tallinn is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka
| Probability | FC Levadia Tallinn | Draw | Tammeka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79.6% | 13.5% | 6.9% |
| Market | 77.7% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
| Final | 78.2% | 13.9% | 7.8% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
Why FC Levadia Tallinn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.21, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.4% per unit staked (our 78.2% × 1.21 − 1).
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka match preview
FC Levadia Tallinn enters the match against Tammeka with a strong probability of winning at 78%. Their recent form shows they have been performing well, with four wins and a draw in their last six matches. The expected goals for FC Levadia Tallinn stand at 2.95, indicating a potent offense, while Tammeka is projected to score only 0.82 goals. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-0, which aligns with the expectation of over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Tammeka's recent form has been less impressive, with two wins and four losses in their last six matches. Historically, FC Levadia Tallinn has dominated their encounters, winning 9 out of the last 10 meetings, leaving Tammeka without a win in this period. The model also suggests a 54% chance that both teams will score in this match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Levadia Tallinn and Tammeka expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.77
FC Levadia Tallinn and Tammeka attack and defence ratings
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 78.2% | 1.28 | +0.5% | 1.21 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.2% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 78.2% |
| Draw | 13.9% | |
| Tammeka | 7.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 61.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 20.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.0% |
| 3-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka stats
FC Levadia Tallinn and Tammeka recent form
| FC Levadia Tallinn |
WWWWDW |
| Tammeka |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Levadia Tallinn and Tammeka season so far
FC Levadia Tallinn record
- They have won 26 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Tammeka record
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 6-0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tammeka | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Tammeka | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-08 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Tammeka | Friendlies Clubs | 4-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Tammeka | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-26 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Tammeka | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2025-01-18 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Tammeka | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Tammeka | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.7%, draw 14.1%, away 8.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 6.35 | 11.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.20 | 6.60 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 6.35 | 11.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .