Tammeka
vs
Trans Narva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tammeka
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Tammeka vs Trans Narva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tammeka vs Trans Narva
| Probability | Tammeka | Draw | Trans Narva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.6% | 22.3% | 18.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.6% | 22.3% | 18.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tammeka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Tammeka vs Trans Narva match preview
Tammeka faces Trans Narva in the Meistriliiga with a 59% probability of winning according to our model, while a draw stands at 23% and Trans Narva at 18%. The expected goals for Tammeka are 2.08, compared to 1.08 for Trans Narva, indicating a potential scoreline of 2-1, which has a 10% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Tammeka's last six matches show a mixed performance with two wins, while Trans Narva has struggled, recording five winless games. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 61%, and both teams scoring at 59%. Historically, in their last seven encounters, Tammeka has secured three victories, while Trans Narva has four wins.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tammeka and Trans Narva expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Tammeka and Trans Narva attack and defence ratings
Tammeka
Trans Narva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tammeka vs Trans Narva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 59.6% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Trans Narva | 18.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% |
| No | 40.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tammeka win | 37.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 40.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
Tammeka vs Trans Narva stats
Tammeka and Trans Narva recent form
| Tammeka |
LWLLWL |
| Trans Narva |
LLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tammeka and Trans Narva season so far
Tammeka record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trans Narva record
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 31 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tammeka vs Trans Narva head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Trans Narva | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Tammeka | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Trans Narva | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Tammeka | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Trans Narva | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 4-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Trans Narva | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Tammeka | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.