Meistriliiga · Full time ·Matchday 32

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka

2 – 0 Full time

A. Le Coq Arena, TallinnReferee: J. Jakobson

Flora Tallinn 52%
Draw 22%
Tammeka 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFlora TallinnDrawTammeka
Model43.8%22.6%33.6%
Market55.0%22.4%22.6%
Final52.2%22.4%25.4%
Edge-11.2%+0.2%+11.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Flora Tallinn

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Flora Tallinn ↓ / Tammeka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Flora Tallinn and Tammeka expected goals

Flora Tallinn 2.05
Tammeka 1.79

Total expected goals: 3.84

Flora Tallinn and Tammeka attack and defence ratings

Flora Tallinn

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Tammeka

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka: result vs prediction

Flora Tallinn 2 – 0 Tammeka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Meistriliiga

Before and after this match

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Flora Tallinn 52.2% 1.92 -11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.7% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.4% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.6% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.2% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Flora Tallinn52.2%
Draw22.4%
Tammeka25.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.7%
Under 2.526.3%
Both teams to scoreYes73.4%
No26.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.6%
12 (either side)77.6%
X2 (draw or away)47.8%
Handicap -1Flora Tallinn win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss56.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.7%
2-18.1%
2-27.2%

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka stats

Flora Tallinn and Tammeka recent form

newest first
Flora Tallinn LLWWDW
Tammeka LWLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Flora Tallinn and Tammeka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Flora Tallinn record

  • They have won 18 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Tammeka record

  • They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Flora Tallinn wins 0Draws 3Tammeka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-02Flora TallinnTammekaMeistriliiga3-2
2026-08-26TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga3-1
2026-04-03TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga3-1
2025-09-20Flora TallinnTammekaMeistriliiga2-1
2025-07-20TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga1-2
2025-05-30Flora TallinnTammekaMeistriliiga3-1
2025-04-08TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga1-2
2025-02-08Flora TallinnTammekaFriendlies Clubs2-1
2024-09-21Flora TallinnTammekaMeistriliiga2-1
2024-07-19TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.9%, draw 22.5%, away 22.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.63 4.10 4.04
Bet365 1.65 4.00 3.80
BetVictor 1.57 3.60 3.50
Betano 1.67 3.95 3.90
Betfair 1.60 4.20 4.20
Dafabet 1.65 4.00 4.00
Marathonbet 1.61 4.10 3.96
William Hill 1.67 3.80 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.63 ▼ -0.02
X 4.00 ▼ -0.10
2 3.96 ▼ -0.17

9 snapshots recorded, from .