Laagri
vs
Flora Tallinn
Garuda Lions Prediction: Laagri
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Laagri vs Flora Tallinn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Laagri vs Flora Tallinn
| Probability | Laagri | Draw | Flora Tallinn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.9% | 21.6% | 14.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.9% | 21.6% | 14.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Laagri
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Laagri vs Flora Tallinn match preview
Laagri will face Flora Tallinn in the Meistriliiga on October 21, 2026. According to our model, Laagri has a 64% probability of winning, while Flora Tallinn stands at 14%. The expected goals for Laagri are 2.13, compared to Flora Tallinn's 0.93. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with an 11% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Laagri has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Flora Tallinn has two wins, one draw, and two losses in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows Laagri winning once and Flora Tallinn winning nine times in their last ten encounters. Our model indicates a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Laagri and Flora Tallinn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Laagri and Flora Tallinn attack and defence ratings
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Laagri vs Flora Tallinn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Laagri | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Laagri win | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Laagri | 63.9% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Flora Tallinn | 14.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Laagri win | 41.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 36.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.6% |
| 1-1 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Laagri vs Flora Tallinn stats
Laagri and Flora Tallinn recent form
| Laagri |
WWWDWL |
| Flora Tallinn |
LLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Laagri and Flora Tallinn season so far
Laagri record
- They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Flora Tallinn record
- They have won 18 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Laagri vs Flora Tallinn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Flora Tallinn | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Flora Tallinn | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 5-0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Laagri | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Laagri | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Flora Tallinn | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-09 | Laagri | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-22 | Flora Tallinn | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 4-1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Laagri | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2023-08-25 | Flora Tallinn | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-19 | Laagri | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.