Paide
vs
Tammeka
2 – 1 Full time
| 35′ | H. Pedmanson | ||
| 37′ | M. Sambe | ||
| 41′ | D. Darboe | ||
| 44′ | M. Sambe | ||
| 46′ | H. PedmansonL. Ounpuu | ||
| 63′ | D. DarboeK. Piht | ||
| 74′ | D. Luts | ||
| 76′ | Daniel CabralP. A. Cham | ||
| 76′ | D. LutsS. Luts | ||
| 83′ | J. Palacios | ||
| 84′ | M. Sambe | ||
| 84′ | M. Sambe | ||
| 87′ | R. SilovR. Muur | ||
| 87′ | M. MillerA. Surogin | ||
| 90′ | M. Lilander | ||
| 90′ | P. A. Cham |
Paide vs Tammeka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Paide vs Tammeka
| Probability | Paide | Draw | Tammeka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.8% | 24.5% | 23.7% |
| Market | 55.4% | 23.2% | 21.3% |
| Final | 54.5% | 23.6% | 21.9% |
| Edge | -0.9% | +0.3% | +0.6% |
Why Paide
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.23.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Paide and Tammeka expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Paide and Tammeka attack and defence ratings
Paide
Tammeka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Paide vs Tammeka: result vs prediction
Paide 2 – 1 Tammeka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Paide vs Tammeka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paide | 54.5% | 1.83 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paide | 54.5% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Tammeka | 21.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Paide win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
Paide vs Tammeka stats
Paide and Tammeka recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Paide and Tammeka going into this match
Paide record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tammeka record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Paide vs Tammeka head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Paide | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Paide | Tammeka | Cup | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Paide | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 5-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Paide | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Paide | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Tammeka | Paide | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Paide vs Tammeka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.4%, draw 23.2%, away 21.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 3.90 | 4.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .