Tammeka
vs
Nõmme United
4 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | G. Uggeri | ||
| 35′ | P. Veelma | ||
| 46′ | A. TorresN. Vassiljev | ||
| 46′ | K. LaanelaidT. Evans | ||
| 47′ | P. Marin | ||
| 55′ | Z. Beglarishvili | ||
| 63′ | H. PedmansonL. Ounpuu | ||
| 70′ | M. Hydara | ||
| 72′ | L. Ounpuu | ||
| 73′ | A. FrolovK. Oostenbrink | ||
| 79′ | T. Lang | ||
| 81′ | H. Jarvelaid | ||
| 81′ | T. LangR. Silov | ||
| 81′ | P. MarinKauan Pereira | ||
| 82′ | Thomas Lisboa | ||
| 86′ | Thomas LisboaM. Vaino | ||
| 86′ | M. SambeR. Muur |
Tammeka vs Nõmme United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tammeka vs Nõmme United
| Probability | Tammeka | Draw | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.8% | 22.6% | 25.6% |
| Market | 48.7% | 23.5% | 27.9% |
| Final | 49.5% | 23.2% | 27.3% |
| Edge | +0.8% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
Why Tammeka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tammeka and Nõmme United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
Tammeka and Nõmme United attack and defence ratings
Tammeka
Nõmme United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tammeka vs Nõmme United: result vs prediction
Tammeka 4 – 0 Nõmme United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tammeka vs Nõmme United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 49.5% | 2.02 | +0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 49.5% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Nõmme United | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.5% |
| No | 31.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tammeka win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Tammeka vs Nõmme United stats
Tammeka and Nõmme United recent form
| Tammeka |
LLWLWL |
| Nõmme United |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tammeka and Nõmme United going into this match
Tammeka record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nõmme United record
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tammeka vs Nõmme United head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Nõmme United | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Tammeka | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Nõmme United | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2026-01-31 | Nõmme United | Tammeka | Friendlies Clubs | 0-6 |
| 2024-11-09 | Nõmme United | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-11 | Tammeka | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-04 | Tammeka | Nõmme United | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-05 | Nõmme United | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tammeka vs Nõmme United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.7%, draw 23.5%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.82 | 3.35 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.80 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.82 | 3.28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82 | 4.10 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .