Meistriliiga
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
FC Levadia Tallinn
vs
Vaprus
4 – 0 Full time
| 6′ | J. Saliste | ||
| 19′ | Wendell | ||
| 28′ | M. Roosnupp | ||
| 46′ | J. PoderV. Vallik | ||
| 46′ | F. LiivakR. Peetson | ||
| 52′ | M. Limberg | ||
| 63′ | M. RoosnuppM. Bessala | ||
| 63′ | N. KutateladzeE. Otoo | ||
| 65′ | Wendell | ||
| 66′ | R. OrmK. Kauber | ||
| 73′ | V. IboroG. Reis | ||
| 73′ | WendellG. Lehtmets | ||
| 74′ | K. AloeU. Nomm | ||
| 75′ | K. Kauber | ||
| 77′ | T. Tammik | ||
| 82′ | S. KapperK. Kutsar | ||
| 82′ | T. PajoJ. Allas | ||
| 90′ | E. Otoo |
FC Levadia Tallinn
81%
Draw
12%
Vaprus
7%
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus
| Probability | FC Levadia Tallinn | Draw | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79.7% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Market | 82.0% | 11.5% | 6.6% |
| Final | 81.4% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
| Edge | -2.3% | +1.7% | +0.6% |
Why FC Levadia Tallinn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
2%
FC Levadia Tallinn and Vaprus expected goals
FC Levadia Tallinn
3.05
Vaprus
0.89
Total expected goals: 3.94
FC Levadia Tallinn and Vaprus attack and defence ratings
FC Levadia Tallinn
Attack
1.63 +63%
Defence
0.61 -39%
Vaprus
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus: result vs prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn 4 – 0 Vaprus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 81.4% | 1.23 | -2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 81.4% |
| Draw | 11.9% | |
| Vaprus | 6.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% |
| No | 43.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 61.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 20.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 9.2% |
| 2-0 | 9.0% | |
| 3-1 | 8.2% |
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus stats
FC Levadia Tallinn and Vaprus recent form
| FC Levadia Tallinn |
WWWWWW |
| Vaprus |
WWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Levadia Tallinn and Vaprus going into this match
FC Levadia Tallinn record
- They have won 20 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Vaprus record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7FC Levadia Tallinn wins
2Draws
1Vaprus wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Vaprus | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Vaprus | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-6 |
| 2026-04-08 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Vaprus | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Vaprus | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-22 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-28 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-15 | Vaprus | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-22 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | Vaprus | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Vaprus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.5%, draw 11.8%, away 6.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.08 | 8.00 | 16.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 5.75 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.16 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.16 | 6.80 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.08 | 8.00 | 16.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13 | 8.64 | 13.17 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 6.76 | 10.60 |
| Superbet | 1.17 | 6.90 | 10.00 |
| Unibet | 1.10 | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.12 ▲ +0.02
X
8.00 ▲ +0.25
2
14.00 ▼ -0.50
9 snapshots recorded, from .