Kalju Nomme
vs
FC Levadia Tallinn
2 – 3 Full time
Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn
| Probability | Kalju Nomme | Draw | FC Levadia Tallinn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.0% | 24.7% | 50.3% |
| Market | 22.2% | 24.0% | 53.8% |
| Final | 22.9% | 24.2% | 52.9% |
| Edge | +2.8% | +0.7% | -3.5% |
Why FC Levadia Tallinn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.27.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kalju Nomme and FC Levadia Tallinn expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Kalju Nomme and FC Levadia Tallinn attack and defence ratings
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn: result vs prediction
Kalju Nomme 2 – 3 FC Levadia Tallinn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 52.9% | 1.89 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalju Nomme | 22.9% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.6% |
Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn stats
Kalju Nomme and FC Levadia Tallinn recent form
| Kalju Nomme |
LWWWWL |
| FC Levadia Tallinn |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kalju Nomme and FC Levadia Tallinn going into this match
Kalju Nomme record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Levadia Tallinn record
- They have won 19 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Kalju Nomme | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Kalju Nomme | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-21 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Kalju Nomme | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.2%, draw 24.0%, away 53.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.26 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 3.95 | 3.60 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.65 |
| Unibet | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.74 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .