Laagri vs Kalju Nomme Prediction — 22 Aug 2026

Laagri vs Kalju Nomme overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Laagri vs Kalju Nomme

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Laagri	Draw	Kalju Nomme
Model	27.7%	24.0%	48.3%
Market	—	—	—
Final	27.7%	24.0%	48.3%
Edge	—	—	—

Confidence: Low

Why Kalju Nomme

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.43.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

86%

3+ goals

65%

No goals

4%

Laagri and Kalju Nomme expected goals

Laagri

1.43

Kalju Nomme

1.93

Total expected goals: 3.36

Laagri and Kalju Nomme attack and defence ratings

Laagri

Attack

0.98 -2%

Defence

1.13 +13%

Kalju Nomme

Attack

1.23 +23%

Defence

0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Laagri vs Kalju Nomme: result vs prediction

Laagri 1 – 0 Kalju Nomme

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Meistriliiga

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva · 2026-08-21
Tammeka v Kuressaare — match page · 2026-08-22
Paide vs Nõmme United · 2026-08-23
Vaprus v Flora Tallinn — match page · 2026-08-23

Before and after this match

Laagri, previous: Laagri – FC Levadia Tallinn, 2026-08-16
Laagri, next: Nõmme United vs Laagri prediction
Kalju Nomme, previous: Kalju Nomme v Vaprus analysis
Kalju Nomme, next: Kalju Nomme v FC Levadia Tallinn analysis

Laagri vs Kalju Nomme markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Kalju Nomme	48.3%	2.07	—	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65.1%	1.54	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	65.9%	1.52	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	76.0%	1.32	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.7%	1.93	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Laagri	27.7%
	Draw	24.0%
	Kalju Nomme	48.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65.1%
	Under 2.5	34.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	65.9%
	No	34.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	51.7%
	12 (either side)	76.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	72.3%
Handicap -1	Kalju Nomme win	27.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.4%
	Loss	51.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.6%
	1-2	9.3%
	2-1	6.9%

Laagri vs Kalju Nomme stats

Laagri and Kalju Nomme recent form

newest first

Laagri	LLLWWL
Kalju Nomme	WWWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Laagri and Kalju Nomme going into this match

league record before kick-off

Laagri record

They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kalju Nomme record

They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Laagri vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

0Laagri wins 1Draws 8Kalju Nomme wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-20	Kalju Nomme	Laagri	Meistriliiga	1-0
2026-04-08	Laagri	Kalju Nomme	Meistriliiga	0-2
2025-10-19	Laagri	Kalju Nomme	Meistriliiga	1-3
2025-09-24	Laagri	Kalju Nomme	Meistriliiga	2-3
2025-06-18	Kalju Nomme	Laagri	Meistriliiga	1-0
2025-04-09	Kalju Nomme	Laagri	Meistriliiga	3-0
2025-01-11	Kalju Nomme	Laagri	Friendlies Clubs	0-0
2024-02-04	Kalju Nomme	Laagri	Friendlies Clubs	3-0
2023-10-14	Kalju Nomme	Laagri	Cup	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Laagri vs Kalju Nomme odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.