Meistriliiga
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
Tammeka
vs
Kuressaare
1 – 0 Full time
Tammeka
39%
Draw
29%
Kuressaare
32%
Tammeka vs Kuressaare overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tammeka vs Kuressaare
| Probability | Tammeka | Draw | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 29.4% | 31.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.8% | 29.4% | 31.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tammeka
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Tammeka and Kuressaare expected goals
Tammeka
1.33
Kuressaare
1.18
Total expected goals: 2.51
Tammeka and Kuressaare attack and defence ratings
Tammeka
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Kuressaare
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tammeka vs Kuressaare: result vs prediction
Tammeka 1 – 0 Kuressaare
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tammeka vs Kuressaare markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 38.8% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Kuressaare | 31.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tammeka win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Tammeka vs Kuressaare stats
Tammeka and Kuressaare recent form
| Tammeka |
WLLWWW |
| Kuressaare |
WWLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tammeka and Kuressaare going into this match
Tammeka record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kuressaare record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tammeka vs Kuressaare head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
5Tammeka wins
2Draws
2Kuressaare wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-11 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-06-17 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-22 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-22 | Tammeka | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-12 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Kuressaare | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.