Tammeka
vs
Flora Tallinn
3 – 1 Full time
Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn
| Probability | Tammeka | Draw | Flora Tallinn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.4% | 29.0% | 25.6% |
| Market | 24.1% | 23.7% | 52.2% |
| Final | 29.4% | 25.0% | 45.6% |
| Edge | +21.3% | +5.3% | -26.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tammeka and Flora Tallinn expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Tammeka and Flora Tallinn attack and defence ratings
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn: result vs prediction
Tammeka 3 – 1 Flora Tallinn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flora Tallinn | 45.6% | 2.19 | -26.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 29.4% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Flora Tallinn | 45.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flora Tallinn win | 9.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 74.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn stats
Tammeka and Flora Tallinn recent form
| Tammeka |
WWLLWW |
| Flora Tallinn |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tammeka and Flora Tallinn going into this match
Tammeka record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Flora Tallinn record
- They have won 16 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Tammeka | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Flora Tallinn | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Tammeka | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-30 | Flora Tallinn | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-08 | Tammeka | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Flora Tallinn | Tammeka | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Flora Tallinn | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-19 | Tammeka | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2024-06-19 | Flora Tallinn | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 3-1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Tammeka | Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.1%, draw 23.7%, away 52.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.98 | 3.84 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 3.75 | 3.80 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 3.90 | 3.95 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 3.86 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Superbet | 3.85 | 3.85 | 1.75 |
| Unibet | 3.75 | 3.85 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .