DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 64

Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg

3 – 3 Full time

Stadion auf dem Wurfplatz, BerlinReferee: J. Wienefeld

Altglienicke 7%
Draw 13%
Wolfsburg 80%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAltglienickeDrawWolfsburg
Model9.7%17.9%72.4%
Market6.2%11.7%82.1%
Final7.1%13.2%79.6%
Edge+3.5%+6.2%-9.7%

Confidence: Medium

Why Wolfsburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 0.81.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Altglienicke ↓ / Wolfsburg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 12% 9% 10% 1 8% 9% 8% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Altglienicke and Wolfsburg expected goals

Altglienicke 0.81
Wolfsburg 2.43

Total expected goals: 3.24

Altglienicke and Wolfsburg attack and defence ratings

Altglienicke

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Wolfsburg

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg: result vs prediction

Altglienicke 3 – 3 Wolfsburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wolfsburg 79.6% 1.26 -9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.9% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Wolfsburg win 50.6% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Altglienicke7.1%
Draw13.2%
Wolfsburg79.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.2%
Both teams to scoreYes51.3%
No48.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)20.4%
12 (either side)86.8%
X2 (draw or away)92.9%
Handicap -1Wolfsburg win50.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss27.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.6%
0-39.4%
1-29.4%

Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg stats

Altglienicke and Wolfsburg recent form

newest first
Altglienicke no matches on record
Wolfsburg WDWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Altglienicke vs Wolfsburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 6.2%, draw 11.7%, away 82.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 16.50 8.40 1.12
888Sport 15.00 7.50 1.14
Bet365 15.00 8.00 1.14
BetVictor 15.00 8.00 1.11
Betano 13.50 9.25 1.19
Betfair 13.00 8.00 1.10
Dafabet 16.00 9.00 1.16
Marathonbet 16.50 8.40 1.12
Pinnacle 13.77 8.76 1.15
SBO 10.60 6.86 1.12
Superbet 13.00 8.10 1.14
Unibet 12.00 7.50 1.18
William Hill 15.00 7.50 1.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 15.00 ▲ +2.00
X 8.00 ▲ +1.00
2 1.14 ▼ -0.03

4 snapshots recorded, from .