DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 64

Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg

0 – 4 Full time

Kaiserstuhlstadion, KaiserstuhlReferee: F. Wagner

Bahlinger SC 3%
Draw 7%
1. FC Magdeburg 89%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBahlinger SCDraw1. FC Magdeburg
Model5.0%10.8%84.2%
Market2.9%6.3%90.8%
Final3.4%7.4%89.1%
Edge+2.1%+4.5%-6.6%

Confidence: Low

Why 1. FC Magdeburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.21 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bahlinger SC ↓ / 1. FC Magdebur → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 18% 1 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Bahlinger SC and 1. FC Magdeburg expected goals

Bahlinger SC 0.81
1. FC Magdeburg 3.21

Total expected goals: 4.03

Bahlinger SC and 1. FC Magdeburg attack and defence ratings

Bahlinger SC

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.32 +32%

1. FC Magdeburg

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg: result vs prediction

Bahlinger SC 0 – 4 1. FC Magdeburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 1. FC Magdeburg 89.1% 1.12 -6.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.9% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 96.6% 1.04 — —
Handicap -1 1. FC Magdeburg win 66.1% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bahlinger SC3.4%
Draw7.4%
1. FC Magdeburg89.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.9%
Under 2.523.1%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)10.9%
12 (either side)92.6%
X2 (draw or away)96.6%
Handicap -11. FC Magdeburg win66.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss17.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-310.2%
0-29.3%
0-48.3%

Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg stats

Bahlinger SC and 1. FC Magdeburg recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 3.4%, draw 6.3%, away 90.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 27.00 11.50 1.04
1xBet 38.00 17.00 1.01
Bet365 26.00 15.00 1.04
Betano 28.00 11.00 1.06
Betfair 46.00 16.00 1.05
Dafabet 40.00 15.00 1.05
Marathonbet 38.00 17.00 1.01
Pinnacle 24.90 17.19 1.04
Superbet 26.00 14.00 1.04
Unibet 26.00 14.00 1.05
William Hill 41.00 15.00 1.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 33.00 ▲ +4.00
X 15.00 ▲ +1.00
2 1.04 ▼ -0.01

3 snapshots recorded, from .