DFB Pokal
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Krieschow
vs
Mainz 05
0 – 9 Full time
Krieschow
8%
Draw
14%
Mainz 05
77%
Krieschow vs Mainz 05 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Krieschow vs Mainz 05
| Probability | Krieschow | Draw | Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.5% | 14.2% | 77.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 8.5% | 14.2% | 77.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mainz 05
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.92 vs 1.00.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Krieschow and Mainz 05 expected goals
Krieschow
1.00
Mainz 05
2.92
Total expected goals: 3.92
Krieschow and Mainz 05 attack and defence ratings
Krieschow
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Mainz 05
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Krieschow vs Mainz 05: result vs prediction
Krieschow 0 – 9 Mainz 05
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Krieschow vs Mainz 05 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mainz 05 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Mainz 05 win | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Krieschow | 8.5% |
| Draw | 14.2% | |
| Mainz 05 | 77.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 22.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mainz 05 win | 57.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 24.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 8.7% |
| 0-3 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |