DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 64

Schott Mainz vs Borussia M.Gladbach

0 – 5 Full time

Mewa Arena, MainzReferee: T. Gansloweit

Schott Mainz 5%
Draw 9%
Borussia M.Gladbach 86%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Schott Mainz vs Borussia M.Gladbach overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Schott Mainz vs Borussia M.Gladbach

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySchott MainzDrawBorussia M.Gladbach
Model15.4%23.0%61.6%
Market1.9%4.5%93.6%
Final5.3%9.2%85.6%
Edge+13.5%+18.5%-31.9%

Confidence: Medium

Why Borussia M.Gladbach

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.94.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Schott Mainz ↓ / Borussia M.Gla → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 10% 11% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Schott Mainz and Borussia M.Gladbach expected goals

Schott Mainz 0.94
Borussia M.Gladbach 1.96

Total expected goals: 2.91

Schott Mainz and Borussia M.Gladbach attack and defence ratings

Schott Mainz

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Borussia M.Gladbach

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Schott Mainz vs Borussia M.Gladbach: result vs prediction

Schott Mainz 0 – 5 Borussia M.Gladbach

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Schott Mainz vs Borussia M.Gladbach markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Borussia M.Gladbach 85.6% 1.17 -31.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.1% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.3% 1.91 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 94.7% 1.06 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.0% 2.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Schott Mainz5.3%
Draw9.2%
Borussia M.Gladbach85.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.1%
Under 2.544.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.3%
No47.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)14.4%
12 (either side)90.8%
X2 (draw or away)94.7%
Handicap -1Borussia M.Gladbach win36.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss40.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.0%
1-111.0%
0-110.1%

Schott Mainz vs Borussia M.Gladbach stats

Schott Mainz and Borussia M.Gladbach recent form

newest first
Schott Mainz no matches on record
Borussia M.Gladbach WLWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Schott Mainz vs Borussia M.Gladbach head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Schott Mainz vs Borussia M.Gladbach odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 1.9%, draw 4.5%, away 93.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 66.00 12.50 1.01
1xBet 41.00 21.00 1.02
888Sport 51.00 19.00 1.03
Bet365 41.00 21.00 1.02
BetVictor 36.00 12.00 1.02
Betano 37.00 14.50 1.03
Betfair 76.00 36.00 1.02
Dafabet 80.00 23.00 1.02
Superbet 50.00 26.00 1.02
Unibet 51.00 21.00 1.01
William Hill 51.00 19.00 1.03

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 50.50 ▼ -8.00
X 21.00 ▼ -1.00
2 1.02 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .