Xelajú
vs
Antigua GFC
4 – 0 Full time
| 26′ | D. Casas | ||
| 39′ | O. Mejia | ||
| 44′ | J. Gonzalez | ||
| 45′ | Y. Jaen | ||
| 46′ | J. GonzalezD. Fernandez | ||
| 59′ | K. J. LopezJ. Moreno | ||
| 64′ | J. EspinozaS. Sagastume | ||
| 64′ | A. GarciaI. Mora | ||
| 67′ | O. Mejia | ||
| 72′ | A. MazieroJ. Franco | ||
| 74′ | Y. JaenS. Cardenas | ||
| 74′ | R. MarquezO. de Leon | ||
| 81′ | D. CasasH. E. Quezada Gamez | ||
| 81′ | M. de LeonJ. Ubico | ||
| 82′ | S. Cardenas | ||
| 84′ | J. Cardona | ||
| 85′ | O. MejiaJ. Racancoj | ||
| 86′ | M. Hernandez |
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Xelajú vs Antigua GFC
| Probability | Xelajú | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.6% | 23.0% | 24.5% |
| Market | 45.2% | 29.4% | 25.4% |
| Final | 47.0% | 27.8% | 25.2% |
| Edge | +7.4% | -6.4% | -1.0% |
Why Xelajú
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.38.
- The market prices Xelajú below the model: +7.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Xelajú and Antigua GFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Xelajú and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings
Xelajú
Antigua GFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC: result vs prediction
Xelajú 4 – 0 Antigua GFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 47.0% | 2.13 | +7.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 47.0% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Antigua GFC | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% |
| No | 33.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Xelajú win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.8% |
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC stats
Xelajú and Antigua GFC recent form
| Xelajú |
DLDWWL |
| Antigua GFC |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Xelajú and Antigua GFC going into this match
Xelajú record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-26 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-25 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-24 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 5-1 |
| 2024-12-09 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-06 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 29.4%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 2.88 | 3.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.05 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 2.88 | 3.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 2.70 | 4.12 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .