Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 11

Xelajú vs Comunicaciones

2 – 3 Full time

28′W. Tebalan
33′O. Mejia
45′E. RaymundoB. Castaneda
45′E. Monreal
45′O. de LeonJ. Ubico
46′A. OrtizA. Vuletich
46′B. Castaneda
59′S. CamachoO. Duarte
62′Y. JaenJ. Castaneda
63′M. Dominguez-Ramirez
69′D. SantisD. Prada
69′N. GarciaA. de la Cruz
74′M. de Leon
78′O. MejiaA. Lopez
86′A. Vuletich
90′A. de la Cruz
90′W. Tebalan
90′B. Castaneda

Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango

Xelajú 63%
Draw 22%
Comunicaciones 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Xelajú vs Comunicaciones overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Xelajú vs Comunicaciones

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityXelajúDrawComunicaciones
Model81.8%12.6%5.6%
Market56.4%25.4%18.3%
Final62.7%22.2%15.1%
Edge+25.4%-12.7%-12.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Xelajú

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.96 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Xelajú below the model: +25.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Xelajú ↓ / Comunicaciones → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 11% 3 11% 4+ 17% 12%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Xelajú and Comunicaciones expected goals

Xelajú 2.96
Comunicaciones 0.71

Total expected goals: 3.67

Xelajú and Comunicaciones attack and defence ratings

Xelajú

Attack 1.48 +48%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Comunicaciones

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Xelajú vs Comunicaciones: result vs prediction

Xelajú 2 – 3 Comunicaciones

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Xelajú vs Comunicaciones markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Xelajú 62.7% 1.59 +25.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.9% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score No 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.9% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Xelajú win 63.5% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Xelajú62.7%
Draw22.2%
Comunicaciones15.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.9%
Under 2.529.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.0%
No51.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.9%
12 (either side)77.8%
X2 (draw or away)37.3%
Handicap -1Xelajú win63.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss18.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.1%
3-011.0%
4-08.1%

Xelajú vs Comunicaciones stats

Xelajú and Comunicaciones recent form

newest first
Xelajú WDLDWW
Comunicaciones LDLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Xelajú and Comunicaciones going into this match

league record before kick-off

Xelajú record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Comunicaciones record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Xelajú vs Comunicaciones head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Xelajú wins 2Draws 1Comunicaciones wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-11XelajúComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2026-05-08ComunicacionesXelajúGuatemala Liga Nacional2-2
2026-03-23ComunicacionesXelajúGuatemala Liga Nacional1-3
2026-02-01XelajúComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2025-11-30ComunicacionesXelajúGuatemala Liga Nacional0-1
2025-09-20XelajúComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional3-0
2025-04-18XelajúComunicacionesLiga Nacional3-2
2025-02-28ComunicacionesXelajúLiga Nacional2-1
2024-10-14ComunicacionesXelajúLiga Nacional0-4
2024-02-25ComunicacionesXelajúLiga Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Xelajú vs Comunicaciones odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.4%, draw 25.4%, away 18.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.58 3.60 5.03
Bet365 1.60 3.60 4.75
BetVictor 1.62 3.60 5.00
Betano 1.65 3.65 4.75
Betfair 1.55 3.75 5.00
Pinnacle 1.64 3.49 5.14
William Hill 1.65 3.30 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▲ +0.11
X 3.60 ▼ -0.12
2 5.00 ▼ -0.56

6 snapshots recorded, from .