Xelajú
vs
Deportivo San Pedro
2 – 0 Full time
| 2′ | E. Fuentes | ||
| 22′ | B. Aldana | ||
| 26′ | K. Ruiz | ||
| 30′ | E. FuentesJ. Navas | ||
| 36′ | O. de LeonR. Calderon | ||
| 44′ | J. Navas | ||
| 45′ | J. Cardona | ||
| 46′ | A. BarrientosS. Colon | ||
| 46′ | B. AldanaE. Macal | ||
| 46′ | R. GomezJ. Fajardo | ||
| 48′ | O. Mejia | ||
| 49′ | R. Folleco | ||
| 53′ | O. MejiaR. Marquez | ||
| 62′ | O. SalgueroY. A. Moran | ||
| 69′ | Y. JaenY. Diaz | ||
| 69′ | D. CasasS. Cardenas | ||
| 71′ | S. Cardenas | ||
| 85′ | K. Illescas |
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro
| Probability | Xelajú | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.8% | 22.7% | 15.6% |
| Market | 62.5% | 22.7% | 14.8% |
| Final | 62.3% | 22.7% | 15.0% |
| Edge | -0.7% | -0.0% | +0.8% |
Why Xelajú
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.93.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Xelajú and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Xelajú and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings
Xelajú
Deportivo San Pedro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro: result vs prediction
Xelajú 2 – 0 Deportivo San Pedro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 62.3% | 1.60 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Xelajú win | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 62.3% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 15.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Xelajú win | 38.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 38.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro stats
Xelajú and Deportivo San Pedro recent form
| LWDLDW | |
| LDDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Xelajú and Deportivo San Pedro going into this match
Xelajú record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo San Pedro record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Deportivo San Pedro | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 22.7%, away 14.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.44 | 6.55 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.50 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.05 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 3.98 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 4.00 | 6.31 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .