Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 12

Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro

2 – 0 Full time

2′E. Fuentes
22′B. Aldana
26′K. Ruiz
30′E. FuentesJ. Navas
36′O. de LeonR. Calderon
44′J. Navas
45′J. Cardona
46′A. BarrientosS. Colon
46′B. AldanaE. Macal
46′R. GomezJ. Fajardo
48′O. Mejia
49′R. Folleco
53′O. MejiaR. Marquez
62′O. SalgueroY. A. Moran
69′Y. JaenY. Diaz
69′D. CasasS. Cardenas
71′S. Cardenas
85′K. Illescas

Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango

Xelajú 62%
Draw 23%
Deportivo San Pedro 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityXelajúDrawDeportivo San Pedro
Model61.8%22.7%15.6%
Market62.5%22.7%14.8%
Final62.3%22.7%15.0%
Edge-0.7%-0.0%+0.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Xelajú

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.93.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Xelajú ↓ / Deportivo San → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Xelajú and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals

Xelajú 2.03
Deportivo San Pedro 0.93

Total expected goals: 2.96

Xelajú and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings

Xelajú

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Deportivo San Pedro

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro: result vs prediction

Xelajú 2 – 0 Deportivo San Pedro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Xelajú 62.3% 1.60 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.0% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Xelajú win 38.7% 2.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Xelajú62.3%
Draw22.7%
Deportivo San Pedro15.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.7%
Under 2.543.3%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.0%
12 (either side)77.3%
X2 (draw or away)37.7%
Handicap -1Xelajú win38.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss38.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-010.7%
2-19.9%

Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro stats

Xelajú and Deportivo San Pedro recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Xelajú and Deportivo San Pedro going into this match

league record before kick-off

Xelajú record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo San Pedro record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Xelajú wins 0Draws 1Deportivo San Pedro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25Deportivo San PedroXelajúGuatemala Liga Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 22.7%, away 14.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.49 4.44 6.55
Bet365 1.53 3.50 5.75
BetVictor 1.45 4.00 6.50
Betano 1.47 4.05 6.00
Betfair 1.40 4.00 6.50
Marathonbet 1.42 3.98 6.00
Pinnacle 1.46 4.00 6.31
William Hill 1.44 4.00 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.46 —
X 4.00 —
2 6.15 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .