Mixco
vs
Municipal
0 – 0 Full time
Mixco vs Municipal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mixco vs Municipal
| Probability | Mixco | Draw | Municipal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.2% | 26.3% | 25.5% |
| Market | 33.0% | 28.8% | 38.2% |
| Final | 36.8% | 28.2% | 35.0% |
| Edge | +3.8% | -0.6% | -3.2% |
Why Mixco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Mixco below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mixco and Municipal expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Mixco and Municipal attack and defence ratings
Mixco
Municipal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mixco vs Municipal: result vs prediction
Mixco 0 – 0 Municipal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mixco vs Municipal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 36.8% | 2.72 | +3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 36.8% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Municipal | 35.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mixco win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
Mixco vs Municipal stats
Mixco and Municipal recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mixco and Municipal going into this match
Mixco record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
Municipal record
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Mixco vs Municipal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Municipal | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Municipal | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 5-0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Mixco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Municipal | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Mixco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Mixco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Municipal | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Municipal | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Mixco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Mixco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mixco vs Municipal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.0%, draw 28.8%, away 38.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 2.97 | 2.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 2.97 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 3.07 | 2.44 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .