Mixco
vs
Municipal
Garuda Lions Prediction: Municipal
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Mixco vs Municipal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mixco vs Municipal
| Probability | Mixco | Draw | Municipal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.5% | 27.9% | 47.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.5% | 27.9% | 47.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Municipal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Mixco vs Municipal match preview
In the upcoming match between Mixco and Municipal, the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter, with Municipal favored at 48% to win compared to Mixco's 24%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 28%. The most probable scoreline is a narrow 0-1 in favor of Municipal, with a 10% chance of occurring. Expected goals indicate that Mixco may score 1.05, while Municipal is projected to net 1.54.
Recent form shows Mixco with a mixed record of W-L-W-L-D-L, while Municipal is on a stronger run with three consecutive wins, contributing to their confidence. In their last ten meetings, Municipal has dominated with 6 wins, while Mixco has secured 2 victories and there have been 2 draws. The model's confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mixco and Municipal expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Mixco and Municipal attack and defence ratings
Mixco
Municipal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mixco vs Municipal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 24.5% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Municipal | 47.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-1 | 10.3% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Mixco vs Municipal stats
Mixco and Municipal recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mixco and Municipal season so far
Mixco record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Municipal record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Mixco vs Municipal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Municipal | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Municipal | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 5-0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Mixco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Municipal | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Mixco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Mixco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Municipal | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Municipal | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Mixco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Mixco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.