Mixco
vs
Cobán Imperial
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mixco
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mixco vs Cobán Imperial
| Probability | Mixco | Draw | Cobán Imperial |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.6% | 22.1% | 20.3% |
| Market | 56.4% | 23.6% | 20.0% |
| Final | 56.7% | 23.2% | 20.1% |
| Edge | +1.2% | -1.5% | +0.3% |
Why Mixco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.25.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial match preview
Mixco faces Cobán Imperial in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a strong chance for a home victory, with Mixco at 57% to win, while Cobán Imperial holds a 20% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Mixco, with a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance that both teams will score. Expected goals indicate Mixco at 2.17 and Cobán Imperial at 1.25.
Recent form shows Mixco with mixed results, recording two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Cobán Imperial has performed relatively well, with three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five outings. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters is evenly matched, with both teams securing four wins each and two draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mixco and Cobán Imperial expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.42
Mixco and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings
Mixco
Cobán Imperial
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 56.7% | 1.76 | +1.2% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 56.7% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Cobán Imperial | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% |
| No | 36.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mixco win | 36.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 42.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.7% |
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial stats
Mixco and Cobán Imperial recent form
| Mixco |
DDWLWL |
| Cobán Imperial |
WLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mixco and Cobán Imperial season so far
Mixco record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cobán Imperial | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Mixco | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Cobán Imperial | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Cobán Imperial | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Mixco | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Mixco | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Cobán Imperial | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Mixco | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-01-26 | Cobán Imperial | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-23 | Mixco | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.4%, draw 23.6%, away 20.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.82 | 4.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.82 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 3.98 | 4.45 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .