Antigua GFC
vs
Xelajú
Garuda Lions Prediction: Antigua GFC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Antigua GFC vs Xelajú overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua GFC vs Xelajú
| Probability | Antigua GFC | Draw | Xelajú |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.7% | 24.0% | 27.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.7% | 24.0% | 27.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Antigua GFC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.42.
Antigua GFC vs Xelajú match preview
Antigua GFC faces Xelajú in an upcoming match with a predicted probability of 54% for an Antigua GFC victory, while a draw stands at 22% and Xelajú at 24%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is 70%, and both teams are projected to score 69% of the time, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter.
In terms of recent form, Antigua GFC has recorded a win, a draw, and three losses in their last five matches, while Xelajú has a mixed record with two wins, two losses, and a draw. The head-to-head record over the last ten matches shows a balanced competition, with both teams securing four wins each and two draws. The expected goals for Antigua GFC is 2.19, compared to Xelajú's 1.45.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antigua GFC and Xelajú expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Antigua GFC and Xelajú attack and defence ratings
Antigua GFC
Xelajú
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Antigua GFC vs Xelajú markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 48.7% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Xelajú | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% |
| No | 34.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 51.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.8% |
Antigua GFC vs Xelajú stats
Antigua GFC and Xelajú recent form
| Antigua GFC |
DWDLLL |
| Xelajú |
WLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antigua GFC and Xelajú season so far
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Xelajú record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
Antigua GFC vs Xelajú head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-26 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-25 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Antigua GFC | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-24 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 5-1 |
| 2024-12-09 | Xelajú | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.