Guastatoya
vs
Antigua GFC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Guastatoya
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC
| Probability | Guastatoya | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.8% | 17.3% | 10.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 71.8% | 17.3% | 10.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Guastatoya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC match preview
Guastatoya enters the match against Antigua GFC with a strong recent form, boasting four wins and a draw in their last six matches. Their expected goals are significantly higher at 2.67 compared to Antigua GFC's 0.99, indicating a dominant offensive presence. The model predicts a 72% probability of a Guastatoya win, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In contrast, Antigua GFC has struggled recently, with three losses in their last six games. Despite this, they managed to secure two wins in that stretch. The model suggests a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match and a 59% probability that both teams will score. Historically, Guastatoya has won once in their last five encounters against Antigua GFC, who have claimed victory four times.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guastatoya and Antigua GFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Guastatoya and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings
Guastatoya
Antigua GFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Guastatoya win | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 71.8% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Antigua GFC | 10.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guastatoya win | 51.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 28.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 3-0 | 8.5% |
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC stats
Guastatoya and Antigua GFC recent form
| Guastatoya |
WWWWDW |
| Antigua GFC |
DLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guastatoya and Antigua GFC season so far
Guastatoya record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Antigua GFC | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Guastatoya | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Antigua GFC | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Guastatoya | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-07 | Antigua GFC | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.