Guatemala Liga Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 14
Guastatoya
vs
Antigua GFC
1 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | A. Maziero | ||
| 15′ | N. LovatoB. Morales | ||
| 45′ | B. Morales | ||
| 50′ | E. Camargo | ||
| 51′ | A. Maziero | ||
| 53′ | A. Tejeda | ||
| 57′ | E. CamargoK. J. Lopez | ||
| 57′ | A. TejedaY. Aguilar | ||
| 60′ | J. Estrada | ||
| 69′ | W. FajardoD. Fernandez | ||
| 69′ | J. EspinozaS. Garzaro | ||
| 75′ | O. CastellanosA. Garcia | ||
| 75′ | A. MazieroJ. Franco | ||
| 83′ | A. ContrerasW. Pineda | ||
| 83′ | B. MoralesV. Armas | ||
| 90′ | M. Sequen | ||
| 90′ | K. J. Lopez | ||
| 90′ | J. Franco |
Guastatoya
46%
Draw
31%
Antigua GFC
23%
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC
| Probability | Guastatoya | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.1% | 22.0% | 16.9% |
| Market | 40.8% | 34.2% | 25.0% |
| Final | 45.9% | 31.2% | 22.9% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -3.0% | -2.0% |
Why Guastatoya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Guastatoya below our published probability: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
Guastatoya and Antigua GFC expected goals
Guastatoya
2.12
Antigua GFC
1.05
Total expected goals: 3.18
Guastatoya and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings
Guastatoya
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Antigua GFC
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC: result vs prediction
Guastatoya 1 – 1 Antigua GFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 45.9% | 2.18 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 45.9% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Antigua GFC | 22.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guastatoya win | 38.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 39.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC stats
Guastatoya and Antigua GFC recent form
| Guastatoya |
LWWWWD |
| Antigua GFC |
WDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guastatoya and Antigua GFC going into this match
Guastatoya record
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Guastatoya wins
1Draws
7Antigua GFC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Antigua GFC | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Guastatoya | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Antigua GFC | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Guastatoya | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-07 | Antigua GFC | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Antigua GFC | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-30 | Guastatoya | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2025-03-05 | Guastatoya | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Antigua GFC | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-20 | Guastatoya | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 31.6%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 2.78 | 4.09 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 2.77 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 2.63 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 2.65 | 3.66 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.21 ▲ +0.30
X
2.64 ▼ -0.58
2
3.62 ▲ +0.04
4 snapshots recorded, from .