Guatemala Liga Nacional · ·Matchday 14

Comunicaciones vs Aurora

Garuda Lions Prediction: Comunicaciones

2 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City

Comunicaciones 71%
Draw 18%
Aurora 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Comunicaciones wins
71%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
9% of simulated outcomes

Comunicaciones vs Aurora overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Comunicaciones vs Aurora

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityComunicacionesDrawAurora
Model70.8%17.6%11.6%
Market———
Final70.8%17.6%11.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Comunicaciones

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.57 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Comunicaciones vs Aurora match preview

Comunicaciones enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 71%, while Aurora stands at 12%. The expected goals for Comunicaciones is 2.57 compared to Aurora's 0.99, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side. Recent form shows Comunicaciones with two wins in their last five matches, while Aurora has struggled, losing four of their last five.

Historically, the last five encounters between these teams show Aurora with three wins, one draw, and one victory for Comunicaciones. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 9% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Comunicaciones ↓ / Aurora → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 8% 2 9% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 10% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Comunicaciones and Aurora expected goals

Comunicaciones 2.57
Aurora 0.99

Total expected goals: 3.56

Comunicaciones and Aurora attack and defence ratings

Comunicaciones

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Aurora

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Comunicaciones vs Aurora markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Comunicaciones 70.8% 1.41 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Comunicaciones win 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Comunicaciones70.8%
Draw17.6%
Aurora11.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.9%
Under 2.531.1%
Both teams to scoreYes58.6%
No41.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.4%
12 (either side)82.4%
X2 (draw or away)29.2%
Handicap -1Comunicaciones win50.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss29.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-09.4%
2-19.3%
3-08.1%

Comunicaciones vs Aurora stats

Comunicaciones and Aurora recent form

newest first
Comunicaciones WWLDLD
Aurora LLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Comunicaciones and Aurora season so far

league record

Comunicaciones record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aurora record

  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Comunicaciones vs Aurora head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Comunicaciones wins 1Draws 3Aurora wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08AuroraComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional3-1
2026-04-11ComunicacionesAuroraGuatemala Liga Nacional1-0
2026-02-22AuroraComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2025-11-05AuroraComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional0-0
2025-08-30ComunicacionesAuroraGuatemala Liga Nacional0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Comunicaciones vs Aurora odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Comunicaciones Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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