Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 14

Comunicaciones vs Aurora

1 – 2 Full time

21′C. FloresJ. Lemus
22′P. M. Dantaz Paredes
30′K. Espino
32′L. Aguilar
37′H. Morales
41′D. Santis
45′Aurora
46′K. EspinoA. Ortiz
46′B. CastanedaA. de la Cruz
46′J. GrajedaR. Hernandez
60′S. Camacho
60′V. UriasH. Del Cid
60′L. AguilarJ. Rodriguez
60′N. GarciaE. Cruz Martin
66′S. CamachoO. Duarte
75′J. Osorio
76′H. Del Cid
78′H. MoralesE. Ibarguen
78′D. BradleyE. Lemus
79′L. N. Olivera MoreiraJ. Ramirez
87′A. de la Cruz
90′E. Ibarguen

Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City

Comunicaciones 62%
Draw 23%
Aurora 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Comunicaciones vs Aurora overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Comunicaciones vs Aurora

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityComunicacionesDrawAurora
Model64.4%20.0%15.6%
Market61.1%24.6%14.3%
Final61.9%23.5%14.7%
Edge+0.8%-1.1%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Comunicaciones

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.37 vs 1.12.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Comunicaciones ↓ / Aurora → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 7% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Comunicaciones and Aurora expected goals

Comunicaciones 2.37
Aurora 1.12

Total expected goals: 3.48

Comunicaciones and Aurora attack and defence ratings

Comunicaciones

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Aurora

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Comunicaciones vs Aurora: result vs prediction

Comunicaciones 1 – 2 Aurora

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Comunicaciones vs Aurora markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Comunicaciones 61.9% 1.62 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.6% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.7% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.3% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Comunicaciones win 43.0% 2.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Comunicaciones61.9%
Draw23.5%
Aurora14.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.6%
Under 2.532.4%
Both teams to scoreYes61.7%
No38.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.3%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)38.1%
Handicap -1Comunicaciones win43.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss35.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.6%
1-18.9%
2-08.6%

Comunicaciones vs Aurora stats

Comunicaciones and Aurora recent form

newest first
Comunicaciones LWWLDL
Aurora WLLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Comunicaciones and Aurora going into this match

league record before kick-off

Comunicaciones record

  • They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aurora record

  • They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Comunicaciones vs Aurora head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Comunicaciones wins 1Draws 3Aurora wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08AuroraComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional3-1
2026-04-11ComunicacionesAuroraGuatemala Liga Nacional1-0
2026-02-22AuroraComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2025-11-05AuroraComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional0-0
2025-08-30ComunicacionesAuroraGuatemala Liga Nacional0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Comunicaciones vs Aurora odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.9%, draw 23.3%, away 13.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.41 3.95 6.81
Bet365 1.45 3.75 6.25
BetVictor 1.44 3.90 7.00
Betano 1.47 3.90 6.70
Betfair 1.40 4.00 6.50
Dafabet 1.45 4.00 7.00
Pinnacle 1.50 3.72 6.39
William Hill 1.44 3.70 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▲ +0.08
X 3.72 ▼ -0.43
2 6.39 ▼ -0.34

4 snapshots recorded, from .