Marquense
vs
Mixco
1 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | C. Jimenez | ||
| 26′ | C. Santos | ||
| 39′ | A. Yanes | ||
| 44′ | J. CanD. Mendez | ||
| 46′ | M. RodasR. E. Corado Ruano | ||
| 46′ | C. LopezG. A. Ramirez K. | ||
| 46′ | M. GomezK. Rocha | ||
| 68′ | F. EscalanteE. Velasquez | ||
| 68′ | D. OchaetaA. Matta | ||
| 69′ | A. Matta | ||
| 71′ | K. Rocha | ||
| 77′ | Y. PozuelosN. Martinez | ||
| 79′ | E. Sanchez | ||
| 83′ | JerryJ. Urizar |
Marquense vs Mixco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marquense vs Mixco
| Probability | Marquense | Draw | Mixco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 23.2% | 16.7% |
| Market | 53.3% | 26.1% | 20.6% |
| Final | 55.0% | 25.4% | 19.6% |
| Edge | +1.7% | -0.7% | -1.0% |
Why Marquense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marquense and Mixco expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Marquense and Mixco attack and defence ratings
Marquense
Mixco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Marquense vs Mixco: result vs prediction
Marquense 1 – 1 Mixco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marquense vs Mixco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 55.0% | 1.82 | +1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 55.0% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Mixco | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marquense win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 40.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 10.0% |
Marquense vs Mixco stats
Marquense and Mixco recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marquense and Mixco going into this match
Marquense record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Mixco record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Marquense vs Mixco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Mixco | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Mixco | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Marquense | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Marquense | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Mixco | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-10 | Marquense | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-22 | Mixco | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 2-3 |
| 2024-10-26 | Mixco | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-10 | Marquense | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-16 | Mixco | Marquense | Primera Division | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marquense vs Mixco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.7%, draw 26.1%, away 20.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.45 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.42 | 4.42 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .