Marquense
vs
Mixco
Garuda Lions Prediction: Marquense
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Marquense vs Mixco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marquense vs Mixco
| Probability | Marquense | Draw | Mixco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.8% | 24.8% | 17.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.8% | 24.8% | 17.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Marquense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Marquense vs Mixco match preview
Marquense faces Mixco in an upcoming match in the Guatemala Liga Nacional, with Marquense holding a 58% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring at an 11% likelihood. Marquense's expected goals stand at 1.83, while Mixco's is significantly lower at 0.91. Recent form shows Marquense with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Mixco has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses.
Historically, in their last five encounters, Marquense has secured one win, while Mixco has dominated with four victories. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 51% probability of scoring at least once. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marquense and Mixco expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Marquense and Mixco attack and defence ratings
Marquense
Mixco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marquense vs Mixco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 57.8% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Mixco | 17.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marquense win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 42.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Marquense vs Mixco stats
Marquense and Mixco recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marquense and Mixco season so far
Marquense record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Mixco record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Marquense vs Mixco head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Mixco | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Mixco | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Marquense | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Marquense | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Mixco | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.