Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 13

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco

3 – 3 Full time

5′A. Zamorano
18′C. Jimenez
33′A. Zamorano
49′L. Garcia
52′J. Bolanos
66′A. Galindo
Suchitepéquez 41%
Draw 27%
Mixco 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Suchitepéquez vs Mixco

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySuchitepéquezDrawMixco
Model42.5%25.0%32.6%
Market40.4%28.0%31.6%
Final40.9%27.2%31.8%
Edge+0.5%-0.8%+0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Suchitepéquez ↓ / Mixco → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Suchitepéquez and Mixco expected goals

Suchitepéquez 1.76
Mixco 1.52

Total expected goals: 3.28

Suchitepéquez and Mixco attack and defence ratings

Suchitepéquez

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.60 +60%

Mixco

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco: result vs prediction

Suchitepéquez 3 – 3 Mixco

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Suchitepéquez 40.9% 2.44 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.7% 1.52 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.4% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Suchitepéquez40.9%
Draw27.2%
Mixco31.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.6%
Under 2.536.4%
Both teams to scoreYes65.7%
No34.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.2%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)59.1%
Handicap -1Suchitepéquez win23.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss57.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-18.9%
1-27.7%

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco stats

Suchitepéquez and Mixco recent form

newest first
Suchitepéquez LLDLDL
Mixco WLWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Suchitepéquez and Mixco going into this match

league record before kick-off

Suchitepéquez record

  • They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.

Mixco record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Suchitepéquez wins 0Draws 2Mixco wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-01MixcoSuchitepéquezGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2021-11-14SuchitepéquezMixcoPrimera Division3-2
2021-11-12MixcoSuchitepéquezPrimera Division2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 27.7%, away 28.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.11 3.14 3.16
Bet365 2.05 3.30 3.10
BetVictor 2.10 3.30 3.20
Betano 2.12 3.30 3.20
Betfair 2.10 3.30 3.00
Dafabet 2.10 3.35 3.25
Marathonbet 2.09 3.14 3.08
Pinnacle 2.12 3.38 3.21
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▲ +0.12
X 3.30 ▲ +0.01
2 3.16 ▼ -0.10

10 snapshots recorded, from .