Suchitepéquez
vs
Mixco
Garuda Lions Prediction: Suchitepéquez
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Suchitepéquez vs Mixco
| Probability | Suchitepéquez | Draw | Mixco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 25.0% | 32.6% |
| Market | 42.2% | 28.6% | 29.2% |
| Final | 42.3% | 27.7% | 30.0% |
| Edge | +0.3% | -3.6% | +3.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco match preview
Suchitepéquez faces Mixco in their upcoming match in the Guatemala Liga Nacional. The model gives Suchitepéquez a 48% chance of winning, while Mixco has a 28% probability of securing victory, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals indicate that Suchitepéquez is projected to score 1.94, compared to Mixco's 1.45. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Suchitepéquez, with a 9% likelihood.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Suchitepéquez recording one win in their last five matches (L-D-L-D-L-W) and Mixco winning two of their last six (W-L-W-L-D-L). The analysis suggests a high likelihood of goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% probability of both teams scoring. In their last encounter, Mixco emerged victorious, marking their only win against Suchitepéquez.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Suchitepéquez and Mixco expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
Suchitepéquez and Mixco attack and defence ratings
Suchitepéquez
Mixco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suchitepéquez | 42.3% | 2.37 | +0.3% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suchitepéquez | 42.3% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Mixco | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% |
| No | 34.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Suchitepéquez win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco stats
Suchitepéquez and Mixco recent form
| Suchitepéquez |
LLDLDL |
| Mixco |
WLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Suchitepéquez and Mixco season so far
Suchitepéquez record
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Mixco record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Mixco | Suchitepéquez | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2021-11-14 | Suchitepéquez | Mixco | Primera Division | 3-2 |
| 2021-11-12 | Mixco | Suchitepéquez | Primera Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 28.6%, away 29.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.12 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.15 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.12 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.18 | 3.12 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .