Malacateco
vs
Guastatoya
2 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | V. Avalos | ||
| 43′ | J. Almanza | ||
| 45′ | J. Estrada | ||
| 53′ | C. Alvarado | ||
| 59′ | V. AvalosM. Sequen | ||
| 59′ | J. EstradaA. Contreras | ||
| 63′ | V. Armas | ||
| 67′ | R. MenesesE. Quinones | ||
| 69′ | W. PinedaY. Aguilar | ||
| 75′ | K. RamirezF. Morales | ||
| 75′ | J. CorreaJ. Trigueno | ||
| 78′ | E. Yori | ||
| 81′ | F. Morales | ||
| 82′ | V. ArmasS. Garrido | ||
| 83′ | L. MacalG. O. Cruz | ||
| 88′ | N. AndradeR. Garcia | ||
| 88′ | I. de LeonA. Soto | ||
| 90′ | A. Contreras |
Malacateco vs Guastatoya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malacateco vs Guastatoya
| Probability | Malacateco | Draw | Guastatoya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.0% | 30.9% | 32.1% |
| Market | 46.9% | 29.2% | 23.8% |
| Final | 44.5% | 29.6% | 25.9% |
| Edge | -2.5% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malacateco and Guastatoya expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Malacateco and Guastatoya attack and defence ratings
Malacateco
Guastatoya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Malacateco vs Guastatoya: result vs prediction
Malacateco 2 – 0 Guastatoya
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malacateco vs Guastatoya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 44.5% | 2.25 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 44.5% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Guastatoya | 25.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malacateco win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.6% |
Malacateco vs Guastatoya stats
Malacateco and Guastatoya recent form
| Malacateco |
LLWDLW |
| Guastatoya |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malacateco and Guastatoya going into this match
Malacateco record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Guastatoya record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Malacateco vs Guastatoya head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Guastatoya | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Malacateco | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Guastatoya | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-20 | Malacateco | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Guastatoya | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-21 | Guastatoya | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Malacateco | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 5-2 |
| 2024-09-08 | Malacateco | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-06 | Malacateco | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Guastatoya | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Malacateco vs Guastatoya odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 29.2%, away 23.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.05 | 3.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.13 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.15 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.05 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.07 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .