Municipal
vs
Marquense
1 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | J. Bantes | ||
| 34′ | R. Munoz | ||
| 46′ | G. A. Ramirez K.D. Ochaeta | ||
| 46′ | J. CanoY. Hernandez | ||
| 46′ | E. VasquezG. Gordillo | ||
| 52′ | C. Santos | ||
| 54′ | C. Santos | ||
| 60′ | F. EscalanteA. Matta | ||
| 61′ | O. Linton | ||
| 64′ | R. MunozP. Altan | ||
| 64′ | C. RaymundoC. Calderon | ||
| 74′ | J. MendezJ. Martinez | ||
| 80′ | E. SanchezE. Velasquez | ||
| 88′ | C. HernandezC. Archila | ||
| 88′ | J. BantesR. Barrientos |
Municipal vs Marquense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal vs Marquense
| Probability | Municipal | Draw | Marquense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.7% | 18.5% | 5.9% |
| Market | 71.3% | 19.4% | 9.3% |
| Final | 72.4% | 19.2% | 8.4% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -0.2% | -0.9% |
Why Municipal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 0.45.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Municipal and Marquense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Municipal and Marquense attack and defence ratings
Municipal
Marquense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Municipal vs Marquense: result vs prediction
Municipal 1 – 1 Marquense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Municipal vs Marquense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 72.4% | 1.38 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 72.4% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Marquense | 8.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.3% |
| No | 67.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 50.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 24.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.3% |
| 1-0 | 15.7% | |
| 3-0 | 12.1% |
Municipal vs Marquense stats
Municipal and Marquense recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Municipal and Marquense going into this match
Municipal record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Marquense record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Municipal vs Marquense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Marquense | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Marquense | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Municipal | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Marquense | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Municipal | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Municipal | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Marquense | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Municipal | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-24 | Marquense | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Municipal | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Municipal vs Marquense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.3%, draw 19.4%, away 9.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 4.70 | 11.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.10 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 4.75 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 4.65 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.28 | 5.00 | 9.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 4.70 | 10.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 5.04 | 10.44 |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 4.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .