Marquense
vs
Antigua GFC
2 – 1 Full time
| 32′ | D. Fernandez | ||
| 47′ | D. Fernandez | ||
| 51′ | E. SanchezD. Grande | ||
| 51′ | G. A. Ramirez K.F. Escalante | ||
| 54′ | J. Gonzalez | ||
| 59′ | M. S. Zamora Contreras | ||
| 64′ | M. S. Zamora ContrerasD. Palencia | ||
| 64′ | D. FernandezJ. Colindres | ||
| 64′ | D. OchaetaA. Matta | ||
| 69′ | C. LopezE. Velasquez | ||
| 70′ | S. GarzaroJ. Espinoza | ||
| 71′ | S. SagastumeE. Camargo | ||
| 76′ | J. FrancoJ. Ruiz | ||
| 83′ | E. Vasquez | ||
| 90′ | D. Chuc | ||
| 90′ | C. Santos |
Marquense vs Antigua GFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marquense vs Antigua GFC
| Probability | Marquense | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| Market | 45.8% | 28.3% | 25.8% |
| Final | 46.8% | 27.8% | 25.4% |
| Edge | +3.9% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
Why Marquense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.13.
- The market prices Marquense below the model: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marquense and Antigua GFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Marquense and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings
Marquense
Antigua GFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Marquense vs Antigua GFC: result vs prediction
Marquense 2 – 1 Antigua GFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marquense vs Antigua GFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 46.8% | 2.14 | +3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 46.8% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Antigua GFC | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marquense win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 50.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
Marquense vs Antigua GFC stats
Marquense and Antigua GFC recent form
| Marquense |
WLDWLW |
| Antigua GFC |
LLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marquense and Antigua GFC going into this match
Marquense record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Marquense vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Antigua GFC | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Antigua GFC | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Marquense | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Marquense | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2025-07-20 | Antigua GFC | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Antigua GFC | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-02-02 | Marquense | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-13 | Antigua GFC | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2018-04-25 | Marquense | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2018-02-25 | Antigua GFC | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marquense vs Antigua GFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 28.3%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.62 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.10 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.22 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 2.99 | 3.69 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .