Marquense
vs
Malacateco
1 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | A. Soto | ||
| 8′ | D. Chuc | ||
| 27′ | Y. Hernandez | ||
| 59′ | A. SotoF. Morales | ||
| 59′ | G. VasquezF. Quinteros | ||
| 59′ | J. OchoaN. Andrade | ||
| 62′ | G. A. Ramirez K.A. Matta | ||
| 62′ | I. de LeonH. Cummings | ||
| 65′ | O. Linton | ||
| 72′ | J. CastanonJ. Correa | ||
| 72′ | E. VasquezL. B. de | ||
| 72′ | Y. HernandezJ. Cano | ||
| 87′ | E. SanchezC. Lopez | ||
| 88′ | F. Quinteros |
Marquense vs Malacateco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marquense vs Malacateco
| Probability | Marquense | Draw | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.3% | 31.0% | 23.7% |
| Market | 45.9% | 28.0% | 26.2% |
| Final | 45.7% | 28.7% | 25.5% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +3.0% | -2.4% |
Why Marquense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.87.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marquense and Malacateco expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Marquense and Malacateco attack and defence ratings
Marquense
Malacateco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Marquense vs Malacateco: result vs prediction
Marquense 1 – 0 Malacateco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marquense vs Malacateco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 45.7% | 2.19 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 45.7% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Malacateco | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marquense win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 54.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
Marquense vs Malacateco stats
Marquense and Malacateco recent form
| Marquense |
LDWLWW |
| Malacateco |
WDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marquense and Malacateco going into this match
Marquense record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Malacateco record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Marquense vs Malacateco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Marquense | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Malacateco | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Malacateco | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Marquense | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Marquense | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Malacateco | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Malacateco | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Marquense | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2018-04-08 | Malacateco | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2018-02-11 | Marquense | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marquense vs Malacateco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 28.0%, away 26.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.24 | 3.48 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.15 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.24 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 3.09 | 3.59 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .