Malacateco
vs
Mixco
1 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | J. Urizar | ||
| 29′ | N. Martinez | ||
| 45′ | J. A. Esqueda Romero | ||
| 46′ | G. VasquezJ. Trigueno | ||
| 46′ | J. LongoJ. Correa | ||
| 57′ | J. Ochoa | ||
| 66′ | G. ArceJerry | ||
| 73′ | Y. PozuelosE. Garcia | ||
| 73′ | M. GomezJ. Ruiz | ||
| 79′ | Jerry | ||
| 82′ | R. MenesesR. Garcia | ||
| 82′ | F. MoralesI. de Leon | ||
| 89′ | C. JimenezK. Lemus |
Malacateco vs Mixco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malacateco vs Mixco
| Probability | Malacateco | Draw | Mixco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.2% | 21.3% | 16.5% |
| Market | 53.7% | 26.2% | 20.1% |
| Final | 55.9% | 25.0% | 19.2% |
| Edge | +8.5% | -4.9% | -3.6% |
Why Malacateco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.08.
- The market prices Malacateco below the model: +8.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malacateco and Mixco expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Malacateco and Mixco attack and defence ratings
Malacateco
Mixco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Malacateco vs Mixco: result vs prediction
Malacateco 1 – 0 Mixco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malacateco vs Mixco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 55.9% | 1.79 | +8.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Malacateco win | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 55.9% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Mixco | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malacateco win | 40.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 37.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
Malacateco vs Mixco stats
Malacateco and Mixco recent form
| Malacateco |
DLWLWL |
| Mixco |
WLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malacateco and Mixco going into this match
Malacateco record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mixco record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Malacateco vs Mixco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Malacateco | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-25 | Mixco | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Mixco | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Malacateco | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-17 | Malacateco | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-12 | Mixco | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Mixco | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Malacateco | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-29 | Mixco | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-19 | Malacateco | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Malacateco vs Mixco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.7%, draw 26.2%, away 20.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.42 | 4.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.42 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 3.52 | 4.52 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .