Municipal
vs
Malacateco
2 – 2 Full time
| 38′ | E. Quinones | ||
| 46′ | M. ChunH. Cummings | ||
| 46′ | D. SanchezJ. Longo | ||
| 46′ | A. CabezaJ. Martinez | ||
| 62′ | C. Hernandez | ||
| 64′ | C. AguilarJ. Morales | ||
| 68′ | G. VasquezN. Andrade | ||
| 68′ | F. MoralesJ. Ochoa | ||
| 77′ | I. de LeonK. Ramirez | ||
| 78′ | C. ArchilaR. Munoz | ||
| 78′ | E. LopezJ. Mendez | ||
| 79′ | K. Ramirez | ||
| 82′ | P. AltanJ. Bantes | ||
| 90′ | J. Ochoa | ||
| 90′ | N. Samayoa |
Municipal vs Malacateco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal vs Malacateco
| Probability | Municipal | Draw | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81.2% | 15.1% | 3.7% |
| Market | 72.0% | 19.8% | 8.2% |
| Final | 74.3% | 18.6% | 7.0% |
| Edge | +9.2% | -4.7% | -4.5% |
Why Municipal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 0.35.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Municipal below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Municipal and Malacateco expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Municipal and Malacateco attack and defence ratings
Municipal
Malacateco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Municipal vs Malacateco: result vs prediction
Municipal 2 – 2 Malacateco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Municipal vs Malacateco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 74.3% | 1.35 | +9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 74.3% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| Malacateco | 7.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.0% |
| No | 73.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 57.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 19.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 18.7% |
| 1-0 | 15.7% | |
| 3-0 | 14.3% |
Municipal vs Malacateco stats
Municipal and Malacateco recent form
| Municipal |
WDWWLW |
| Malacateco |
LWLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Municipal and Malacateco going into this match
Municipal record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Malacateco record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Municipal vs Malacateco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Municipal | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Malacateco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Municipal | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Malacateco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-06 | Malacateco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-01 | Municipal | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Malacateco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-08-11 | Municipal | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Municipal | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-04-26 | Malacateco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Municipal vs Malacateco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.0%, draw 19.8%, away 8.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 4.55 | 12.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 4.80 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.30 | 4.55 | 9.75 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 4.75 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 4.55 | 11.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 4.89 | 10.54 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 4.40 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .