Mixco
vs
Aurora
3 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | Y. Pozuelos | ||
| 24′ | L. Garcia | ||
| 24′ | L. Garcia | ||
| 32′ | D. Mendez | ||
| 32′ | D. Ruiz | ||
| 35′ | Y. Pozuelos | ||
| 42′ | M. Acosta | ||
| 45′ | A. J. Echeverria Perez | ||
| 46′ | A. J. Echeverria PerezV. Urias | ||
| 46′ | E. IbarguenH. Morales | ||
| 46′ | J. GrajedaJ. Vivas | ||
| 46′ | L. GarciaJ. Bolanos | ||
| 58′ | J. RuizE. Garcia | ||
| 58′ | Cuero Fabian | ||
| 65′ | H. Morales | ||
| 67′ | Y. PozuelosG. Arce | ||
| 67′ | JerryK. Lemus | ||
| 88′ | C. MonterrosoH. Del Cid | ||
| 89′ | N. MartinezR. Marroquin | ||
| 90′ | D. Bajan | ||
| 90′ | J. Bolanos |
Mixco vs Aurora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mixco vs Aurora
| Probability | Mixco | Draw | Aurora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.7% | 23.7% | 19.6% |
| Market | 62.7% | 22.2% | 15.1% |
| Final | 61.2% | 22.6% | 16.3% |
| Edge | -6.0% | +1.6% | +4.5% |
Why Mixco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.09.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mixco and Aurora expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Mixco and Aurora attack and defence ratings
Mixco
Aurora
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mixco vs Aurora: result vs prediction
Mixco 3 – 2 Aurora
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mixco vs Aurora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 61.2% | 1.63 | -6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 61.2% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Aurora | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mixco win | 34.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 43.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
Mixco vs Aurora stats
Mixco and Aurora recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mixco and Aurora going into this match
Mixco record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Aurora record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mixco vs Aurora head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Mixco | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Aurora | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Aurora | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Mixco | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2022-03-19 | Aurora | Mixco | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-03 | Mixco | Aurora | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-18 | Mixco | Aurora | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2021-07-31 | Aurora | Mixco | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2020-12-05 | Mixco | Aurora | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2020-12-02 | Aurora | Mixco | Primera Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mixco vs Aurora odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.7%, draw 22.2%, away 15.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.05 | 6.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.10 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 4.17 | 5.98 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .