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Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 9

Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez

3 – 2 Full time

14′J. Carbonell
21′A. Lezcano
27′A. Maziero
35′O. Castellanos
41′C. Madrid
45′J. Galvez
45′M. Icute
46′J. CarbonellK. J. Lopez
46′J. GalvezD. Palencia
47′F. Gonzalez
55′A. Zamorano
57′J. EspinozaE. Camargo
59′K. J. Lopez
65′F. Gonzalez
68′E. Camargo
70′A. MazieroJ. Franco
75′O. CastellanosA. Garcia
78′F. GonzalezA. Galindo
78′E. de LeonD. Herrera
78′C. ArtolaF. A. Montano Cardenas
86′A. LezcanoF. de Leon
90′J. Rosales

Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala

Antigua GFC 72%
Draw 18%
Suchitepéquez 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAntigua GFCDrawSuchitepéquez
Model86.5%9.6%3.9%
Market67.8%20.6%11.5%
Final72.5%17.9%9.6%
Edge+18.7%-11.1%-7.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Antigua GFC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.37 vs 0.69.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Antigua GFC below the model: +18.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Antigua GFC ↓ / Suchitepéquez → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 11% 4+ 22% 15%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Antigua GFC and Suchitepéquez expected goals

Antigua GFC 3.37
Suchitepéquez 0.69

Total expected goals: 4.06

Antigua GFC and Suchitepéquez attack and defence ratings

Antigua GFC

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Suchitepéquez

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez: result vs prediction

Antigua GFC 3 – 2 Suchitepéquez

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Antigua GFC 72.5% 1.38 +18.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.1% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score No 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.4% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Antigua GFC win 71.2% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Antigua GFC72.5%
Draw17.9%
Suchitepéquez9.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.1%
Under 2.522.9%
Both teams to scoreYes48.6%
No51.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.4%
12 (either side)82.1%
X2 (draw or away)27.5%
Handicap -1Antigua GFC win71.2%
Push (exactly one goal)15.4%
Loss13.5%
Correct score (top 3)3-011.0%
2-09.8%
4-09.3%

Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez stats

Antigua GFC and Suchitepéquez recent form

newest first
Antigua GFC WWLWWW
Suchitepéquez DLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Antigua GFC and Suchitepéquez going into this match

league record before kick-off

Antigua GFC record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Suchitepéquez record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Antigua GFC wins 0Draws 3Suchitepéquez wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-04-19Antigua GFCSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional2-3
2018-02-18SuchitepéquezAntigua GFCLiga Nacional1-3
2017-10-08Antigua GFCSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional5-0
2017-08-05SuchitepéquezAntigua GFCLiga Nacional1-0
2017-03-29Antigua GFCSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional2-1
2017-02-01SuchitepéquezAntigua GFCLiga Nacional1-3
2016-10-12SuchitepéquezAntigua GFCLiga Nacional2-4
2016-07-27Antigua GFCSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional2-1
2016-05-01SuchitepéquezAntigua GFCLiga Nacional0-1
2016-02-27Antigua GFCSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.8%, draw 20.6%, away 11.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.33 4.40 8.15
Bet365 1.38 4.50 7.00
BetVictor 1.33 4.50 8.00
Betano 1.38 4.35 7.40
Betfair 1.30 4.75 8.00
Marathonbet 1.32 4.40 7.80
Pinnacle 1.36 4.44 7.64
William Hill 1.36 4.00 8.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.35 ▲ +0.04
X 4.42 ▼ -0.13
2 7.90 ▼ -1.03

3 snapshots recorded, from .