Guatemala Liga Nacional · 2026-09-10T02:10:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya

1 – 1 Full time

11′			M. Icute
32′			A. Contreras
35′			H. MoralesY. Aguilar
37′			M. Rivas
42′			J. Almanza
46′			D. HerreraA. Galindo
46′			J. MatulC. Artola
55′			A. Tejeda
58′			B. LemusS. Garrido
61′			A. TejedaV. Avalos
63′			J. Corena
63′			F. GonzalezE. Rivera
76′			M. RivasE. de Leon
76′			C. MadridV. G. Torres Chavez
77′			J. Corena
80′			M. SequenJ. Estrada
80′			J. EstradaC. Ramirez
88′			V. Avalos
89′			A. Galindo

Suchitepéquez

40%

Draw

32%

Guastatoya

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Suchitepéquez	Draw	Guastatoya
Model	37.5%	29.1%	33.4%
Market	41.2%	33.0%	25.8%
Final	40.3%	32.0%	27.7%
Edge	-3.7%	-3.9%	+7.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

74%

3+ goals

47%

No goals

Suchitepéquez and Guastatoya expected goals

Suchitepéquez

1.33

Guastatoya

1.25

Total expected goals: 2.57

Suchitepéquez and Guastatoya attack and defence ratings

Suchitepéquez

Attack

0.88 -12%

Defence

1.40 +40%

Guastatoya

Attack

1.07 +7%

Defence

0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya: result vs prediction

Suchitepéquez 1 – 1 Guastatoya

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco — team news & stats · 2026-09-09
Comunicaciones v Marquense — match page · 2026-09-10
Aurora v Municipal — match page · 2026-09-10
Malacateco vs Antigua GFC — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial · 2026-09-11

Before and after this match

Suchitepéquez, previous: Malacateco – Suchitepéquez, 2026-09-06
Suchitepéquez, next: Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez: odds and pick
Guastatoya, previous: Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya prediction
Guastatoya, next: Guastatoya – Xelajú, 2026-09-13

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Suchitepéquez	40.3%	2.48	-3.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	52.6%	1.90	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	53.5%	1.87	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.3%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	62.6%	1.60	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Suchitepéquez	40.3%
	Draw	32.0%
	Guastatoya	27.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	47.4%
	Under 2.5	52.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	53.5%
	No	46.5%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.3%
	12 (either side)	68.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.7%
Handicap -1	Suchitepéquez win	17.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.9%
	Loss	62.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.9%
	0-0	8.9%
	1-0	8.9%

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya stats

Suchitepéquez and Guastatoya recent form

newest first

Suchitepéquez	LWLLLL
Guastatoya	WLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Suchitepéquez and Guastatoya going into this match

league record before kick-off

Suchitepéquez record

They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Guastatoya record

They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Suchitepéquez wins 3Draws 3Guastatoya wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2018-04-13	Suchitepéquez	Guastatoya	Liga Nacional	2-0
2018-02-14	Guastatoya	Suchitepéquez	Liga Nacional	1-2
2017-11-15	Guastatoya	Suchitepéquez	Liga Nacional	4-1
2017-09-10	Suchitepéquez	Guastatoya	Liga Nacional	1-1
2017-05-07	Guastatoya	Suchitepéquez	Liga Nacional	2-2
2017-03-09	Suchitepéquez	Guastatoya	Liga Nacional	0-0
2016-10-27	Suchitepéquez	Guastatoya	Liga Nacional	0-1
2016-08-07	Guastatoya	Suchitepéquez	Liga Nacional	0-1
2016-04-07	Suchitepéquez	Guastatoya	Liga Nacional	2-1
2016-02-07	Guastatoya	Suchitepéquez	Liga Nacional	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 33.0%, away 25.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.20	2.80	3.50
1xBet	2.18	2.76	3.56
888Sport	2.20	2.63	3.50
Bet365	2.10	2.70	3.70
BetVictor	2.20	2.75	3.60
Betano	2.22	2.82	3.50
Betfair	2.15	2.75	3.60
Dafabet	2.23	2.85	3.60
Marathonbet	2.16	2.76	3.48
Pinnacle	2.19	2.66	3.51
Superbet	2.22	2.80	3.55
Unibet	2.30	2.75	3.05
William Hill	2.20	2.62	3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▲ +0.06

X 2.75 ▼ -0.29

2 3.51 ▲ +0.21

3 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-08T16:10:01Z.