Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 8

Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial

0 – 0 Full time

35′E. Cardoza
46′E. CardozaS. Cardenas
56′W. Amaya
62′D. TorresB. Aldana
63′Y. Diaz
63′U. Amaral
66′Y. DiazO. Mejia
68′E. Monreal
74′Y. JaenA. Lopez
75′R. CalderonJ. Gonzalez
75′Y. AlvarezL. Rosas
75′U. AmaralB. Calabrese
82′R. MarquezH. E. Quezada Gamez
83′W. AmayaS. Paredes
87′J. Gonzalez

Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango

Xelajú 73%
Draw 18%
Cobán Imperial 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityXelajúDrawCobán Imperial
Model83.2%11.7%5.1%
Market69.6%20.0%10.5%
Final73.0%17.9%9.1%
Edge+13.7%-8.3%-5.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Xelajú

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.06 vs 0.72.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Xelajú below the model: +13.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Xelajú ↓ / Cobán Imperial → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 11% 3 11% 4+ 18% 13%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Xelajú and Cobán Imperial expected goals

Xelajú 3.06
Cobán Imperial 0.72

Total expected goals: 3.79

Xelajú and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings

Xelajú

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Cobán Imperial

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial: result vs prediction

Xelajú 0 – 0 Cobán Imperial

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Xelajú 73.0% 1.37 +13.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.0% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score No 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.9% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Xelajú win 65.4% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Xelajú73.0%
Draw17.9%
Cobán Imperial9.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.0%
Under 2.527.0%
Both teams to scoreYes49.2%
No50.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.9%
12 (either side)82.1%
X2 (draw or away)27.0%
Handicap -1Xelajú win65.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss17.0%
Correct score (top 3)3-010.9%
2-010.7%
4-08.4%

Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial stats

Xelajú and Cobán Imperial recent form

newest first
Xelajú WWLDWL
Cobán Imperial LLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Xelajú and Cobán Imperial going into this match

league record before kick-off

Xelajú record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Cobán Imperial record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Xelajú wins 3Draws 3Cobán Imperial wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26XelajúCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional2-1
2026-03-05Cobán ImperialXelajúGuatemala Liga Nacional1-1
2025-11-22XelajúCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional3-1
2025-09-16Cobán ImperialXelajúGuatemala Liga Nacional2-1
2025-04-25XelajúCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-0
2025-02-22Cobán ImperialXelajúLiga Nacional1-0
2024-12-22XelajúCobán ImperialLiga Nacional3-0
2024-12-14Cobán ImperialXelajúLiga Nacional2-0
2024-09-28Cobán ImperialXelajúLiga Nacional0-0
2024-03-03XelajúCobán ImperialLiga Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.5%, draw 21.0%, away 13.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.25 4.95 10.00
888Sport 1.40 3.90 6.50
Bet365 1.40 4.33 6.50
BetVictor 1.30 4.75 9.00
Betano 1.50 3.95 5.80
Betfair 1.36 4.20 7.50
Dafabet 1.44 4.30 6.40
Marathonbet 1.24 4.95 9.60
Pinnacle 1.34 4.35 6.87
Superbet 1.45 4.20 6.10
Unibet 1.41 3.80 6.50
William Hill 1.33 4.40 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.31 ▼ -0.09
X 4.58 ▲ +0.48
2 8.75 ▲ +2.25

3 snapshots recorded, from .