Marquense
vs
Xelajú
0 – 4 Full time
| 7′ | L. Garcia | ||
| 13′ | Y. Jaen | ||
| 31′ | C. Santos | ||
| 34′ | Marquense | ||
| 39′ | D. Casas | ||
| 44′ | Y. Jaen | ||
| 46′ | O. LintonF. Escalante | ||
| 46′ | C. SantosA. Matta | ||
| 58′ | Marquense | ||
| 59′ | D. GrandeE. Sanchez | ||
| 59′ | L. GarciaD. Ochaeta | ||
| 66′ | Y. JaenS. Cardenas | ||
| 74′ | Y. HernandezL. B. de | ||
| 79′ | D. CasasM. de Leon | ||
| 80′ | Y. DiazO. Mejia | ||
| 81′ | S. Cardenas | ||
| 88′ | R. CalderonJ. Gonzalez | ||
| 88′ | E. CardozaA. Lopez | ||
| 89′ | E. Sanchez |
Marquense vs Xelajú overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marquense vs Xelajú
| Probability | Marquense | Draw | Xelajú |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.0% | 24.6% | 24.4% |
| Market | 41.7% | 29.1% | 29.2% |
| Final | 44.0% | 28.0% | 28.0% |
| Edge | +9.3% | -4.5% | -4.8% |
Why Marquense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Marquense below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marquense and Xelajú expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Marquense and Xelajú attack and defence ratings
Marquense
Xelajú
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Marquense vs Xelajú: result vs prediction
Marquense 0 – 4 Xelajú
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marquense vs Xelajú markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 44.0% | 2.27 | +9.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 44.0% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Xelajú | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marquense win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.7% |
Marquense vs Xelajú stats
Marquense and Xelajú recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marquense and Xelajú going into this match
Marquense record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Xelajú record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Marquense vs Xelajú head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Xelajú | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Marquense | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Marquense | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Xelajú | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2025-11-06 | Marquense | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Xelajú | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Marquense | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-17 | Xelajú | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Marquense | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-04 | Xelajú | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marquense vs Xelajú odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 30.2%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.14 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.13 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 2.95 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.31 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.14 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 2.79 | 3.35 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .